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Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI 66%

Anthropic 26%

Google 4.8%

DeepSeek 1.9%

Polymarket

$204,923 Vol.

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$204,923
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI 66%

Anthropic 26%

Google 4.8%

DeepSeek 1.9%

Polymarket

$204,923 Vol.

Market icon

OpenAI

$30,679 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Anthropic

$32,618 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Google

$21,801 Vol.

5%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$22,690 Vol.

2%

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xAI

$21,942 Vol.

2%

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Z.ai

$22,480 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$17,688 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$19,782 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$15,243 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.