Traders heavily favor a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the exchange's recent rule changes enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 index inclusion within 15 days of IPO—a condition SpaceX reportedly set for proceeding, ensuring immediate passive fund inflows for liquidity. SpaceX's confidential April filing targets a record $1.75–$2 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and reusable Falcon/Starship rocket successes, aligning with NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem where Elon Musk's Tesla already trades. NYSE lingers at 0.5% amid no supporting developments, while "Other" at 6.3% reflects minor speculation on alternatives like the Texas Stock Exchange. Watch for S-1 public filing and June/July listing window updates from SEC and SpaceX.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNASDAQ 90%
Other 6.9%
NYSE <1%
$94,482 Vol.
$94,482 Vol.
NASDAQ
90%
Other
7%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 90%
Other 6.9%
NYSE <1%
$94,482 Vol.
$94,482 Vol.
NASDAQ
$18,151 Vol.
90%
Other
$57,782 Vol.
7%
NYSE
$18,549 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders heavily favor a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the exchange's recent rule changes enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 index inclusion within 15 days of IPO—a condition SpaceX reportedly set for proceeding, ensuring immediate passive fund inflows for liquidity. SpaceX's confidential April filing targets a record $1.75–$2 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and reusable Falcon/Starship rocket successes, aligning with NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem where Elon Musk's Tesla already trades. NYSE lingers at 0.5% amid no supporting developments, while "Other" at 6.3% reflects minor speculation on alternatives like the Texas Stock Exchange. Watch for S-1 public filing and June/July listing window updates from SEC and SpaceX.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$94,482Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders heavily favor a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the exchange's recent rule changes enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 index inclusion within 15 days of IPO—a condition SpaceX reportedly set for proceeding, ensuring immediate passive fund inflows for liquidity. SpaceX's confidential April filing targets a record $1.75–$2 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and reusable Falcon/Starship rocket successes, aligning with NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem where Elon Musk's Tesla already trades. NYSE lingers at 0.5% amid no supporting developments, while "Other" at 6.3% reflects minor speculation on alternatives like the Texas Stock Exchange. Watch for S-1 public filing and June/July listing window updates from SEC and SpaceX.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$94,482Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the exchange's recent rule changes enabling rapid Nasdaq-100 index inclusion within 15 days of IPO—a condition SpaceX reportedly set for proceeding, ensuring immediate passive fund inflows for liquidity. SpaceX's confidential April filing targets a record $1.75–$2 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and reusable Falcon/Starship rocket successes, aligning with NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem where Elon Musk's Tesla already trades. NYSE lingers at 0.5% amid no supporting developments, while "Other" at 6.3% reflects minor speculation on alternatives like the Texas Stock Exchange. Watch for S-1 public filing and June/July listing window updates from SEC and SpaceX.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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