Market icon
Finance·Business

3rd largest company end of March?

Market icon
Finance·Business

3rd largest company end of March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Alphabet 54%

Apple 44%

Microsoft <1%

NVIDIA <1%

Polymarket

$772,730 Vol.

Alphabet 54%

Apple 44%

Microsoft <1%

NVIDIA <1%

Polymarket

$772,730 Vol.

Market icon

Alphabet

$239,897 Vol.

54%

Market icon

Apple

$120,606 Vol.

44%

Market icon

Microsoft

$148,743 Vol.

1%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$64,657 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$50,476 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tesla

$20,749 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Oracle

$109,216 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$18,384 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$772,730
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward Alphabet (54% implied probability) overtaking Apple (43.5%) as the third-largest company by market cap by March 31, primarily due to Alphabet's resilient stock gains from AI-driven cloud growth and ad revenue strength, contrasting Apple's 10%+ YTD underperformance amid slumping iPhone sales in China and antitrust pressures. Microsoft holds firm as the undisputed leader above $3 trillion, while Nvidia's post-earnings volatility has eroded its bid for a podium spot, dropping its odds to 0.4%. Lower probabilities for Amazon, Tesla, Oracle, and Saudi Aramco reflect their wider gaps below $2 trillion, with oil price swings failing to close Aramco's deficit. Final trading dynamics could shift these market-implied odds in the closing days.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 54%, followed by "Apple" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of March?" has generated $772.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of March?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of March?" is "Alphabet" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.