Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the lack of an SEC S-1 filing and the company's ongoing private fundraising efforts. Anthropic closed a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation and has explored additional capital at $850–900 billion in recent weeks, signaling a likely final private round before any public debut. Legal counsel has been engaged and banker discussions noted since late 2025, yet all credible reporting points to an earliest realistic window in Q4 2026. A surprise acceleration would require rapid regulatory filings and board approval within weeks, scenarios viewed as improbable given standard IPO preparation timelines for large AI companies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于截至2026年6月30日尚未上市 99.0%
6000亿美元及以上 <1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元 <1%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
$1,384,375 交易量
$1,384,375 交易量
2026-06-30
<100B
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
<1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
<1%
4000–6000亿美元
<1%
6000亿美元及以上
<1%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市
99%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市 99.0%
6000亿美元及以上 <1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元 <1%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
$1,384,375 交易量
$1,384,375 交易量
2026-06-30
<100B
$278,841 交易量
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
$110,415 交易量
<1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元
$154,686 交易量
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
$109,911 交易量
<1%
4000–6000亿美元
$168,491 交易量
<1%
6000亿美元及以上
$298,193 交易量
<1%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市
$263,844 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the lack of an SEC S-1 filing and the company's ongoing private fundraising efforts. Anthropic closed a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation and has explored additional capital at $850–900 billion in recent weeks, signaling a likely final private round before any public debut. Legal counsel has been engaged and banker discussions noted since late 2025, yet all credible reporting points to an earliest realistic window in Q4 2026. A surprise acceleration would require rapid regulatory filings and board approval within weeks, scenarios viewed as improbable given standard IPO preparation timelines for large AI companies.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,384,375结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the lack of an SEC S-1 filing and the company's ongoing private fundraising efforts. Anthropic closed a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation and has explored additional capital at $850–900 billion in recent weeks, signaling a likely final private round before any public debut. Legal counsel has been engaged and banker discussions noted since late 2025, yet all credible reporting points to an earliest realistic window in Q4 2026. A surprise acceleration would require rapid regulatory filings and board approval within weeks, scenarios viewed as improbable given standard IPO preparation timelines for large AI companies.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,384,375结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the lack of an SEC S-1 filing and the company's ongoing private fundraising efforts. Anthropic closed a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation and has explored additional capital at $850–900 billion in recent weeks, signaling a likely final private round before any public debut. Legal counsel has been engaged and banker discussions noted since late 2025, yet all credible reporting points to an earliest realistic window in Q4 2026. A surprise acceleration would require rapid regulatory filings and board approval within weeks, scenarios viewed as improbable given standard IPO preparation timelines for large AI companies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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