The market-implied odds reflect Anthropic’s lack of any SEC Form S-1 filing or official public timeline that could support an IPO closing by June 30, 2026. Recent reporting continues to point to an October 2026 or Q4 target at the earliest, following the company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May. Traders appear to view the compressed runway—less than five weeks—as incompatible with standard IPO processes such as roadshows, regulatory review, and final pricing. A sudden acceleration would require an unprecedented filing and approval sequence that has not materialized despite ongoing banker discussions and competitive pressure from OpenAI.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年6月30日前未IPO 99.0%
6000億+ <1%
2,000–3,000 億 <1%
3,000–4,000 億 <1%
$1,420,787 交易量
$1,420,787 交易量
2026-06-30
低於 1000 億
<1%
1000–2000 億美元
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億
<1%
6000億+
1%
2026年6月30日前未IPO
99%
2026年6月30日前未IPO 99.0%
6000億+ <1%
2,000–3,000 億 <1%
3,000–4,000 億 <1%
$1,420,787 交易量
$1,420,787 交易量
2026-06-30
低於 1000 億
$291,738 交易量
<1%
1000–2000 億美元
$121,514 交易量
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
$156,253 交易量
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
$110,598 交易量
<1%
4,000–6,000 億
$174,011 交易量
<1%
6000億+
$299,694 交易量
1%
2026年6月30日前未IPO
$266,984 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market-implied odds reflect Anthropic’s lack of any SEC Form S-1 filing or official public timeline that could support an IPO closing by June 30, 2026. Recent reporting continues to point to an October 2026 or Q4 target at the earliest, following the company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May. Traders appear to view the compressed runway—less than five weeks—as incompatible with standard IPO processes such as roadshows, regulatory review, and final pricing. A sudden acceleration would require an unprecedented filing and approval sequence that has not materialized despite ongoing banker discussions and competitive pressure from OpenAI.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,420,787結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market-implied odds reflect Anthropic’s lack of any SEC Form S-1 filing or official public timeline that could support an IPO closing by June 30, 2026. Recent reporting continues to point to an October 2026 or Q4 target at the earliest, following the company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May. Traders appear to view the compressed runway—less than five weeks—as incompatible with standard IPO processes such as roadshows, regulatory review, and final pricing. A sudden acceleration would require an unprecedented filing and approval sequence that has not materialized despite ongoing banker discussions and competitive pressure from OpenAI.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,420,787結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market-implied odds reflect Anthropic’s lack of any SEC Form S-1 filing or official public timeline that could support an IPO closing by June 30, 2026. Recent reporting continues to point to an October 2026 or Q4 target at the earliest, following the company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May. Traders appear to view the compressed runway—less than five weeks—as incompatible with standard IPO processes such as roadshows, regulatory review, and final pricing. A sudden acceleration would require an unprecedented filing and approval sequence that has not materialized despite ongoing banker discussions and competitive pressure from OpenAI.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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