Traders assign a 99.1% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the artificial intelligence developer remains focused on private capital raises rather than public-market preparations. In recent weeks the company has fielded offers for a $40–50 billion round at valuations exceeding $900 billion, following its $30 billion Series G in February at $380 billion post-money, while Claude large language model revenue continues to scale rapidly. Although Anthropic hired counsel in late 2025 and discussed banker outreach, no S-1 filing or definitive timeline has emerged, and executives have stated no final decision exists on going public. An accelerated regulatory review or sudden shift in board strategy could theoretically compress the schedule, yet current momentum and historical AI-lab timelines point to any listing occurring later in 2026 at the earliest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 99.0%
600 Md+ <1%
<100B <1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards <1%
$1,384,297 Vol.
$1,384,297 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200 milliards
<1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards
<1%
300–400 Md
<1%
400–600 Md$
<1%
600 Md+
<1%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
99%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 99.0%
600 Md+ <1%
<100B <1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards <1%
$1,384,297 Vol.
$1,384,297 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100B
$278,841 Vol.
<1%
100–200 milliards
$110,354 Vol.
<1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards
$154,674 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Md
$109,906 Vol.
<1%
400–600 Md$
$168,491 Vol.
<1%
600 Md+
$298,188 Vol.
<1%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$263,844 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 99.1% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the artificial intelligence developer remains focused on private capital raises rather than public-market preparations. In recent weeks the company has fielded offers for a $40–50 billion round at valuations exceeding $900 billion, following its $30 billion Series G in February at $380 billion post-money, while Claude large language model revenue continues to scale rapidly. Although Anthropic hired counsel in late 2025 and discussed banker outreach, no S-1 filing or definitive timeline has emerged, and executives have stated no final decision exists on going public. An accelerated regulatory review or sudden shift in board strategy could theoretically compress the schedule, yet current momentum and historical AI-lab timelines point to any listing occurring later in 2026 at the earliest.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,384,297Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 99.1% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the artificial intelligence developer remains focused on private capital raises rather than public-market preparations. In recent weeks the company has fielded offers for a $40–50 billion round at valuations exceeding $900 billion, following its $30 billion Series G in February at $380 billion post-money, while Claude large language model revenue continues to scale rapidly. Although Anthropic hired counsel in late 2025 and discussed banker outreach, no S-1 filing or definitive timeline has emerged, and executives have stated no final decision exists on going public. An accelerated regulatory review or sudden shift in board strategy could theoretically compress the schedule, yet current momentum and historical AI-lab timelines point to any listing occurring later in 2026 at the earliest.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,384,297Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 99.1% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the artificial intelligence developer remains focused on private capital raises rather than public-market preparations. In recent weeks the company has fielded offers for a $40–50 billion round at valuations exceeding $900 billion, following its $30 billion Series G in February at $380 billion post-money, while Claude large language model revenue continues to scale rapidly. Although Anthropic hired counsel in late 2025 and discussed banker outreach, no S-1 filing or definitive timeline has emerged, and executives have stated no final decision exists on going public. An accelerated regulatory review or sudden shift in board strategy could theoretically compress the schedule, yet current momentum and historical AI-lab timelines point to any listing occurring later in 2026 at the earliest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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