Traders assign a 99% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the company has completed no S-1 filing, announced no pricing range, and set no public launch date, while credible reports point to an earliest realistic window in October or Q4 2026. Anthropic continues private fundraising, including a February Series G at a $380 billion post-money valuation and ongoing talks around $900 billion, and has retained counsel for IPO groundwork without committing to an imminent listing. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves insufficient runway for required SEC review, roadshows, and exchange approvals. A surprise acceleration could only occur through an unexpected board decision and rapid regulatory fast-track, though historical AI-company precedents show such compressed processes remain rare.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 99.0%
6,000억+ <1%
2,000–3,000억 달러 <1%
3,000–4,000억 달러 <1%
$1,384,744 거래량
$1,384,744 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억+
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
99%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 99.0%
6,000억+ <1%
2,000–3,000억 달러 <1%
3,000–4,000억 달러 <1%
$1,384,744 거래량
$1,384,744 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$278,877 거래량
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
$110,489 거래량
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
$154,813 거래량
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
$109,921 거래량
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
$168,501 거래량
<1%
6,000억+
$298,229 거래량
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$263,918 거래량
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 99% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the company has completed no S-1 filing, announced no pricing range, and set no public launch date, while credible reports point to an earliest realistic window in October or Q4 2026. Anthropic continues private fundraising, including a February Series G at a $380 billion post-money valuation and ongoing talks around $900 billion, and has retained counsel for IPO groundwork without committing to an imminent listing. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves insufficient runway for required SEC review, roadshows, and exchange approvals. A surprise acceleration could only occur through an unexpected board decision and rapid regulatory fast-track, though historical AI-company precedents show such compressed processes remain rare.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$1,384,744종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 99% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the company has completed no S-1 filing, announced no pricing range, and set no public launch date, while credible reports point to an earliest realistic window in October or Q4 2026. Anthropic continues private fundraising, including a February Series G at a $380 billion post-money valuation and ongoing talks around $900 billion, and has retained counsel for IPO groundwork without committing to an imminent listing. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves insufficient runway for required SEC review, roadshows, and exchange approvals. A surprise acceleration could only occur through an unexpected board decision and rapid regulatory fast-track, though historical AI-company precedents show such compressed processes remain rare.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$1,384,744종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 99% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, because the company has completed no S-1 filing, announced no pricing range, and set no public launch date, while credible reports point to an earliest realistic window in October or Q4 2026. Anthropic continues private fundraising, including a February Series G at a $380 billion post-money valuation and ongoing talks around $900 billion, and has retained counsel for IPO groundwork without committing to an imminent listing. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves insufficient runway for required SEC review, roadshows, and exchange approvals. A surprise acceleration could only occur through an unexpected board decision and rapid regulatory fast-track, though historical AI-company precedents show such compressed processes remain rare.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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