Anthropic's overwhelming 99% market-implied odds against an IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of any Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed timeline despite preparatory steps. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model family hired specialized counsel in late 2025 and has explored banker discussions, yet it has repeatedly stated no decision on going public has been made, with credible reports pointing to an earliest realistic window around October 2026. Explosive private-market valuations now exceeding prior $380 billion rounds, alongside surging enterprise adoption of its coding agents and model capabilities, support a measured approach focused on scaling revenue and infrastructure partnerships rather than an accelerated public debut. A sudden regulatory filing or competitive pressure from peers could theoretically compress timelines, though such moves remain improbable given standard IPO preparation cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Рыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 99.0%
600 млрд+ <1%
200–300 млрд <1%
300–400 млрд <1%
$1,384,727 Объем
$1,384,727 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд+
<1%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
99%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 99.0%
600 млрд+ <1%
200–300 млрд <1%
300–400 млрд <1%
$1,384,727 Объем
$1,384,727 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$278,877 Объем
<1%
100–200 млрд
$110,479 Объем
<1%
200–300 млрд
$154,806 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$109,921 Объем
<1%
400–600 млрд
$168,501 Объем
<1%
600 млрд+
$298,229 Объем
<1%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
$263,918 Объем
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's overwhelming 99% market-implied odds against an IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of any Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed timeline despite preparatory steps. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model family hired specialized counsel in late 2025 and has explored banker discussions, yet it has repeatedly stated no decision on going public has been made, with credible reports pointing to an earliest realistic window around October 2026. Explosive private-market valuations now exceeding prior $380 billion rounds, alongside surging enterprise adoption of its coding agents and model capabilities, support a measured approach focused on scaling revenue and infrastructure partnerships rather than an accelerated public debut. A sudden regulatory filing or competitive pressure from peers could theoretically compress timelines, though such moves remain improbable given standard IPO preparation cycles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Объем
$1,384,727Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's overwhelming 99% market-implied odds against an IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of any Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed timeline despite preparatory steps. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model family hired specialized counsel in late 2025 and has explored banker discussions, yet it has repeatedly stated no decision on going public has been made, with credible reports pointing to an earliest realistic window around October 2026. Explosive private-market valuations now exceeding prior $380 billion rounds, alongside surging enterprise adoption of its coding agents and model capabilities, support a measured approach focused on scaling revenue and infrastructure partnerships rather than an accelerated public debut. A sudden regulatory filing or competitive pressure from peers could theoretically compress timelines, though such moves remain improbable given standard IPO preparation cycles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$1,384,727Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's overwhelming 99% market-implied odds against an IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of any Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed timeline despite preparatory steps. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model family hired specialized counsel in late 2025 and has explored banker discussions, yet it has repeatedly stated no decision on going public has been made, with credible reports pointing to an earliest realistic window around October 2026. Explosive private-market valuations now exceeding prior $380 billion rounds, alongside surging enterprise adoption of its coding agents and model capabilities, support a measured approach focused on scaling revenue and infrastructure partnerships rather than an accelerated public debut. A sudden regulatory filing or competitive pressure from peers could theoretically compress timelines, though such moves remain improbable given standard IPO preparation cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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