Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds against any IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the absence of an SEC filing or formal announcement, with all credible reporting pointing to a potential window no earlier than Q4 2026. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model recently closed a $30 billion Series G round at a $380 billion post-money valuation and is reportedly exploring further private capital at even higher levels, consistent with typical late-stage AI firms prioritizing additional venture funding over rushed public listings. While Anthropic has engaged counsel and discussed banker relationships, no S-1 has been submitted and timelines for due diligence, roadshows, and regulatory review make a near-term debut improbable. A sudden acceleration would require unprecedented execution speed that has not occurred among comparable AI peers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCapital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 99.0%
600B+ <1%
<100B <1%
200–300 bilhões <1%
$1,384,593 Vol.
$1,384,593 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 bilhões
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600 bilhões
<1%
600B+
<1%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026
99%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 99.0%
600B+ <1%
<100B <1%
200–300 bilhões <1%
$1,384,593 Vol.
$1,384,593 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100B
$278,873 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$110,469 Vol.
<1%
200–300 bilhões
$154,788 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$109,921 Vol.
<1%
400–600 bilhões
$168,501 Vol.
<1%
600B+
$298,203 Vol.
<1%
Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026
$263,844 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds against any IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the absence of an SEC filing or formal announcement, with all credible reporting pointing to a potential window no earlier than Q4 2026. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model recently closed a $30 billion Series G round at a $380 billion post-money valuation and is reportedly exploring further private capital at even higher levels, consistent with typical late-stage AI firms prioritizing additional venture funding over rushed public listings. While Anthropic has engaged counsel and discussed banker relationships, no S-1 has been submitted and timelines for due diligence, roadshows, and regulatory review make a near-term debut improbable. A sudden acceleration would require unprecedented execution speed that has not occurred among comparable AI peers.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,384,593Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds against any IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the absence of an SEC filing or formal announcement, with all credible reporting pointing to a potential window no earlier than Q4 2026. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model recently closed a $30 billion Series G round at a $380 billion post-money valuation and is reportedly exploring further private capital at even higher levels, consistent with typical late-stage AI firms prioritizing additional venture funding over rushed public listings. While Anthropic has engaged counsel and discussed banker relationships, no S-1 has been submitted and timelines for due diligence, roadshows, and regulatory review make a near-term debut improbable. A sudden acceleration would require unprecedented execution speed that has not occurred among comparable AI peers.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,384,593Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds against any IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the absence of an SEC filing or formal announcement, with all credible reporting pointing to a potential window no earlier than Q4 2026. The artificial intelligence company behind the Claude large language model recently closed a $30 billion Series G round at a $380 billion post-money valuation and is reportedly exploring further private capital at even higher levels, consistent with typical late-stage AI firms prioritizing additional venture funding over rushed public listings. While Anthropic has engaged counsel and discussed banker relationships, no S-1 has been submitted and timelines for due diligence, roadshows, and regulatory review make a near-term debut improbable. A sudden acceleration would require unprecedented execution speed that has not occurred among comparable AI peers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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