SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and preparations for a potential June 2026 debut are anchoring trader expectations for an IPO raise in the $50–80 billion range. Recent reports highlight targets of $50–75 billion at valuations between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, supported by strong demand for Starlink expansion and Starship funding needs. With implied probabilities closely clustered—70–80 billion at 41 percent, 80–90 billion at 32 percent, and 50–60 billion at 29 percent—the market reflects uncertainty over final pricing, share dilution, and prevailing equity-market conditions at launch. Key differentiators include macroeconomic risk appetite, comparable large-scale offerings such as Saudi Aramco, and any last-minute adjustments to the dual-class governance structure that could affect investor appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$140,615 Vol.
$140,615 Vol.
<40B
2%
40-50B
1%
50-60B
30%
60-70B
7%
70-80B
42%
80-90B
33%
90-100B
6%
100-110B
3%
110-120B
4%
120B+
1%
$140,615 Vol.
$140,615 Vol.
<40B
$10,449 Vol.
2%
40-50B
$5,840 Vol.
1%
50-60B
$33,299 Vol.
30%
60-70B
$14,365 Vol.
7%
70-80B
$24,933 Vol.
42%
80-90B
$15,794 Vol.
33%
90-100B
$10,827 Vol.
6%
100-110B
$7,665 Vol.
3%
110-120B
$9,511 Vol.
4%
120B+
$7,933 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and preparations for a potential June 2026 debut are anchoring trader expectations for an IPO raise in the $50–80 billion range. Recent reports highlight targets of $50–75 billion at valuations between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, supported by strong demand for Starlink expansion and Starship funding needs. With implied probabilities closely clustered—70–80 billion at 41 percent, 80–90 billion at 32 percent, and 50–60 billion at 29 percent—the market reflects uncertainty over final pricing, share dilution, and prevailing equity-market conditions at launch. Key differentiators include macroeconomic risk appetite, comparable large-scale offerings such as Saudi Aramco, and any last-minute adjustments to the dual-class governance structure that could affect investor appetite.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$140,615Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and preparations for a potential June 2026 debut are anchoring trader expectations for an IPO raise in the $50–80 billion range. Recent reports highlight targets of $50–75 billion at valuations between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, supported by strong demand for Starlink expansion and Starship funding needs. With implied probabilities closely clustered—70–80 billion at 41 percent, 80–90 billion at 32 percent, and 50–60 billion at 29 percent—the market reflects uncertainty over final pricing, share dilution, and prevailing equity-market conditions at launch. Key differentiators include macroeconomic risk appetite, comparable large-scale offerings such as Saudi Aramco, and any last-minute adjustments to the dual-class governance structure that could affect investor appetite.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$140,615Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and preparations for a potential June 2026 debut are anchoring trader expectations for an IPO raise in the $50–80 billion range. Recent reports highlight targets of $50–75 billion at valuations between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion, supported by strong demand for Starlink expansion and Starship funding needs. With implied probabilities closely clustered—70–80 billion at 41 percent, 80–90 billion at 32 percent, and 50–60 billion at 29 percent—the market reflects uncertainty over final pricing, share dilution, and prevailing equity-market conditions at launch. Key differentiators include macroeconomic risk appetite, comparable large-scale offerings such as Saudi Aramco, and any last-minute adjustments to the dual-class governance structure that could affect investor appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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