Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13, 2026, between $90-$100, as the stock settled at $97.31 on Friday, April 17—down 9.7% amid elevated trading volume of over 115 million shares. This decisive positioning stems from Q1 earnings released that day, which featured disappointing Q2 revenue guidance below analyst estimates, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings' announcement of his board departure, eroding investor confidence after shares traded near $103 earlier in the week. Within a 52-week range of $75-$134, this post-earnings plunge solidifies the outcome, with negligible scenarios now capable of challenging resolution given the official close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$90-$100 100.0%
<$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$70-$80 <1%
$222,298 Vol.
$222,298 Vol.
<$60
No
$60-$70
No
$70-$80
No
$80-$90
No
$90-$100
Yes
$100-$110
No
$110-$120
No
$120-$130
No
$130-$140
No
$140-$150
No
>$150
No
$90-$100 100.0%
<$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$70-$80 <1%
$222,298 Vol.
$222,298 Vol.
<$60
No
$60-$70
No
$70-$80
No
$80-$90
No
$90-$100
Yes
$100-$110
No
$110-$120
No
$120-$130
No
$130-$140
No
$140-$150
No
>$150
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13, 2026, between $90-$100, as the stock settled at $97.31 on Friday, April 17—down 9.7% amid elevated trading volume of over 115 million shares. This decisive positioning stems from Q1 earnings released that day, which featured disappointing Q2 revenue guidance below analyst estimates, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings' announcement of his board departure, eroding investor confidence after shares traded near $103 earlier in the week. Within a 52-week range of $75-$134, this post-earnings plunge solidifies the outcome, with negligible scenarios now capable of challenging resolution given the official close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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