Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$568,873 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
xAI
$160,758 Vol.
41%
xAI
$160,758 Vol.
41%
OpenAI
$247,909 Vol.
24%
OpenAI
$247,909 Vol.
24%
Anthropic
$148,121 Vol.
20%
Anthropic
$148,121 Vol.
20%
Mistral
$323 Vol.
17%
Mistral
$323 Vol.
17%
Alibaba
$336 Vol.
17%
Alibaba
$336 Vol.
17%
Baidu
$737 Vol.
20%
Baidu
$737 Vol.
20%
DeepSeek
$2,984 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$2,984 Vol.
8%
Z.ai
$2,330 Vol.
8%
Z.ai
$2,330 Vol.
8%
Meta
$1,332 Vol.
7%
Meta
$1,332 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$1,222 Vol.
6%
Meituan
$1,222 Vol.
6%
Nvidia
$2,821 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$2,821 Vol.
5%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Created At: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$568,873End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$568,873 Vol.
xAI
$160,758 Vol.
41%
OpenAI
$247,909 Vol.
24%
Anthropic
$148,121 Vol.
20%
Mistral
$323 Vol.
17%
Alibaba
$336 Vol.
17%
Baidu
$737 Vol.
20%
DeepSeek
$2,984 Vol.
8%
Z.ai
$2,330 Vol.
8%
Meta
$1,332 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$1,222 Vol.
6%
Nvidia
$2,821 Vol.
5%
About
Volume
$568,873End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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