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Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Google 69%

OpenAI 9%

Anthropic 8%

xAI 6.5%

NEW

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$8,520
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Google 69%

OpenAI 9%

Anthropic 8%

xAI 6.5%

NEW
Market icon

Google

$1,232 Vol.

69%

Market icon

OpenAI

$748 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Anthropic

$1,071 Vol.

8%

Market icon

xAI

$795 Vol.

6%

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Baidu

$764 Vol.

5%

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DeepSeek

$741 Vol.

5%

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Mistral

$835 Vol.

3%

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Alibaba

$545 Vol.

2%

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Meituan

$627 Vol.

1%

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Z.ai

$615 Vol.

1%

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Moonshot

$547 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$8,520
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Beware of external links.