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Gemini 3 predictions & odds

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Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

6%

$49.4K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

46%

50%+

$312K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

90%

40%+

$133K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

96%

June 30

$113K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

15

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

34%

July 31

$977K Vol.

$26.5K Liq.

56

Ends in about 2 months

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

88%

June 30

$27.2K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

99%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$26.2K Vol.

$63.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 1 day

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

60%

1480+

$41.2K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

2

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

66%

0

$1.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

91%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

43

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

76%

Avengers: Doomsday

$2M Vol.

$123K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

6%

Dune 3

$38.3K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

71%

Momentum

$35.3K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

43%

1st hottest

$29.6K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

22%

50%+

$60.0K Vol.

$823 Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

95%

3rd hottest

$91.9K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

UNiTY esports

$0 Vol.

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

17%

June 30

$358K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

19

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

32%

$110K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

31

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gemini 3.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Gemini 3 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gemini 3 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.