Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$69,384 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$69,384 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$20,958 Vol.

47%

June 30

$9,101 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent code leaks from Anthropic's Claude infrastructure, surfacing on March 31, have fueled trader speculation around an imminent Claude 4.7 release, with references to Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8 embedded in the codebase alongside features like subagents and 1-million-token context windows for a new "Mythos" model. These follow the February launch of Claude Sonnet 4.6, which emphasized OSWorld benchmarks and agentic coding, maintaining Anthropic's aggressive iteration cadence amid intensifying competition from OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok updates. No official announcement has materialized, but historical patterns—point releases every 1-3 months—suggest a potential drop soon, possibly tied to unconfirmed IPO timelines or developer conferences; traders should monitor Anthropic's API docs and X account for resolution triggers like public API access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,384
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent code leaks from Anthropic's Claude infrastructure, surfacing on March 31, have fueled trader speculation around an imminent Claude 4.7 release, with references to Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8 embedded in the codebase alongside features like subagents and 1-million-token context windows for a new "Mythos" model. These follow the February launch of Claude Sonnet 4.6, which emphasized OSWorld benchmarks and agentic coding, maintaining Anthropic's aggressive iteration cadence amid intensifying competition from OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok updates. No official announcement has materialized, but historical patterns—point releases every 1-3 months—suggest a potential drop soon, possibly tied to unconfirmed IPO timelines or developer conferences; traders should monitor Anthropic's API docs and X account for resolution triggers like public API access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,384
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Claude 4.7 released by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 57%, followed by "May 31" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Claude 4.7 released by...?" has generated $69.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Claude 4.7 released by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Claude 4.7 released by...?" is "June 30" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 31" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Claude 4.7 released by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.