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SpaceX predictions & odds

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What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

51%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$81.2K today

$155K Liq.

228

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

95%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$125K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$105K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

89%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$167K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

9%

$790K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

40

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

87%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

44

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

55%

2.0T+

$884K Vol.

$67.2K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

3%

$199K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$60.1K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

45%

Morgan Stanley

$2M Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

63%

0

$1.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

30%

1.5T-2.0T

$2M Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

8

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

30%

$299K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many SpaceX launches in May?

How many SpaceX launches in May?

52%

14 or more

$565 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

$105K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

68%

June

$333K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

77%

$30.0K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

16%

$151K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

56%

1.75-2.00T

$132K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

1

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

74%

<5

$446K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like SpaceX.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for SpaceX that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 51% chance to Other (incl $SPCX). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SpaceX predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.