14 SpaceX prediction markets

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

34%

$STAR

$1m Vol.

$74.2k Liq.

83

Ends in almost 2 years

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

SpaceX

Science

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

26%

$34.7k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 12 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

SpaceX

Business

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

74%

Morgan Stanley

$202k Vol.

$22.7k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

69%

>$1T

$152k Vol.

$39.6k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX

Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

68%

1T+

$467k Vol.

$120k Liq.

23

Ends in almost 2 years

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

26%

$59.6k Vol.

$19.8k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX

Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Successful splash down?

$516k Vol.

$4.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 22 days

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

53%

$57.4k Vol.

$9.3k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

38%

5-6

$5.2k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX

Science

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

65%

$1.3k Vol.

$365 Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?

SpaceX

Science

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?

84%

February 15, 2026 or later

$9.5k Vol.

$1.4k Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX

Elon Musk

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

11%

$626 Vol.

$2.4k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$1.0k Vol.

$7.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 12 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

Science

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

$902 Vol.

$25.3k Liq.

Ends in 12 months