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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

NEW
Jan 21, 2027
Polymarket

$1,762 Vol.

Polymarket

John Malkovich

$31 Vol.

70%

Tom Cruise

$886 Vol.

78%

Ryan Gosling

$253 Vol.

63%

Pedro Pascal

$0 Vol.

52%

Andrew Scott

$0 Vol.

50%

Sam Rockwell

$0 Vol.

49%

Robert Aramayo

$72 Vol.

48%

Adam Driver

$0 Vol.

47%

Javier Bardem

$40 Vol.

45%

Sebastian Stan

$0 Vol.

42%

Josh O'Connor

$41 Vol.

34%

Jeremy Strong

$58 Vol.

32%

Jaafar Jackson

$87 Vol.

24%

Brad Pitt

$21 Vol.

22%

John Turturro

$62 Vol.

20%

Matt Damon

$86 Vol.

67%

Timothée Chalamet

$124 Vol.

49%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile 2026 releases featuring veteran stars and auteur directors. Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ Digger and John Malkovich in Searchlight’s Wild Horse Nine top most June 2026 prediction lists, followed by Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s Project Hail Mary, Sebastian Stan in NEON’s Fjord, and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. These placements reflect trader focus on proven box-office draws, awards-friendly narratives, and studio campaign machinery rather than completed films. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, guild screenings, and precursor season launches, which historically shift momentum once critics and voters see the performances. The race remains fluid given the long timeline and limited released footage.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,762
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile 2026 releases featuring veteran stars and auteur directors. Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ Digger and John Malkovich in Searchlight’s Wild Horse Nine top most June 2026 prediction lists, followed by Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s Project Hail Mary, Sebastian Stan in NEON’s Fjord, and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. These placements reflect trader focus on proven box-office draws, awards-friendly narratives, and studio campaign machinery rather than completed films. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, guild screenings, and precursor season launches, which historically shift momentum once critics and voters see the performances. The race remains fluid given the long timeline and limited released footage.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,762
End Date
Jan 21, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Cruise" at 78%, followed by "John Malkovich" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" is "Tom Cruise" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Malkovich" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.