Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June, driven by recent Reuters and CNBC reports detailing the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and plans for a public prospectus release between May 15-22—imminent as of today—followed by a roadshow the week of June 8 targeting a late-June listing at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation. Surging Starlink revenue projections to $22-24 billion in 2026 underpin the optimism, reflecting robust fundamentals amid competitive positioning in satellite internet and launch services. July (9.7%) and August (9%) capture potential SEC review delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 3.3% signals low delay risk; watch for prospectus details and analyst briefings this week as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJune 82%
July 9.7%
August 9.0%
No IPO before 2027 3.3%
$339,873 Vol.
$339,873 Vol.
May
1%
June
75%
July
10%
August
9%
September
<1%
October
1%
November
1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
3%
June 82%
July 9.7%
August 9.0%
No IPO before 2027 3.3%
$339,873 Vol.
$339,873 Vol.
May
1%
June
75%
July
10%
August
9%
September
<1%
October
1%
November
1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June, driven by recent Reuters and CNBC reports detailing the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and plans for a public prospectus release between May 15-22—imminent as of today—followed by a roadshow the week of June 8 targeting a late-June listing at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation. Surging Starlink revenue projections to $22-24 billion in 2026 underpin the optimism, reflecting robust fundamentals amid competitive positioning in satellite internet and launch services. July (9.7%) and August (9%) capture potential SEC review delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 3.3% signals low delay risk; watch for prospectus details and analyst briefings this week as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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