Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

94%

June 30

$69.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

24%

April 30

$53.8K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

18

Ends in 26 days

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

50%

Up

$29 Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

51%

Up

$0 Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

50%

Up

$29 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Humanoid.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Humanoid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $123K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Humanoid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.