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Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Market icon
Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Apr 24

Jun 19

Apr 24

Jun 19

Decrease 83%

No Change 16%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$19,732 Vol.

Decrease 83%

No Change 16%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$19,732 Vol.

Decrease

$11,740 Vol.

83%

No Change

$3,686 Vol.

16%

Increase

$4,306 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Russia decision in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Decrease" at 83%, followed by "No Change" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Russia decision in April?" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Russia decision in April?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Russia decision in April?" is "Decrease" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Change" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Russia decision in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.