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Colombia predictions & odds

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Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$131K today

$2M Liq.

408

Ends in about 2 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$220K today

$1M Liq.

23

Ends in 25 days

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

50%

25 bps increase

$13 Vol.

$62 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

56%

Increase

$2.4K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

6%

$25.6K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

49%

54-57%

$2.1K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

6%

$47.0K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 25 days

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?

14%

June 30

$68.9K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 24 days

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

6%

$1.8K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Colombia Primera A: Winner

Colombia Primera A: Winner

50%

Atlético Nacional

$0 Vol.

$73 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

32%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$8.2K Vol.

$107K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

17%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

43

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia

70%

Colombia

$426 Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia vs. DR Congo

Colombia vs. DR Congo

64%

Colombia

$834 Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Colombia vs. Portugal

Colombia vs. Portugal

45%

Portugal

$72 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

97%

December 31

$270K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

64%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$58.7K Vol.

$193K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

$215K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

CD Tolima vs. AD Pasto

CD Tolima vs. AD Pasto

41%

CD Tolima

$0 Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

CDP Junior FC vs. Once Caldas

CDP Junior FC vs. Once Caldas

39%

CDP Junior FC

$0 Vol.

$784 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Colombia.

Polymarket currently hosts 139 active markets for Colombia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Colombia Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $35.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Colombia Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Colombia Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to Iván Cepeda Castro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Colombia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.