Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

7% chance

$19,908 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,908
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

7% chance

$19,908 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,908
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Beware of external links.