Heightened economic and diplomatic pressure from the Trump administration, including a January 2026 executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat, an oil blockade on third-country suppliers, expanded sanctions, and preparations to indict former leader Raúl Castro, has driven trader consensus toward "No." These measures follow the U.S. capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro and aim to isolate Havana amid its fuel shortages and economic crisis, while Trump has referenced possible "deals" or regime change through non-military means. Recent naval presence in the Caribbean and limited military contacts near Guantanamo reflect posturing rather than invasion preparations. With no direct military action launched and negotiations referenced into May 2026, traders assess full-scale invasion by year-end as unlikely absent major escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$2,365,064 거래량
$2,365,064 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$2,365,064 거래량
$2,365,064 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Heightened economic and diplomatic pressure from the Trump administration, including a January 2026 executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat, an oil blockade on third-country suppliers, expanded sanctions, and preparations to indict former leader Raúl Castro, has driven trader consensus toward "No." These measures follow the U.S. capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro and aim to isolate Havana amid its fuel shortages and economic crisis, while Trump has referenced possible "deals" or regime change through non-military means. Recent naval presence in the Caribbean and limited military contacts near Guantanamo reflect posturing rather than invasion preparations. With no direct military action launched and negotiations referenced into May 2026, traders assess full-scale invasion by year-end as unlikely absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$2,365,064종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Heightened economic and diplomatic pressure from the Trump administration, including a January 2026 executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat, an oil blockade on third-country suppliers, expanded sanctions, and preparations to indict former leader Raúl Castro, has driven trader consensus toward "No." These measures follow the U.S. capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro and aim to isolate Havana amid its fuel shortages and economic crisis, while Trump has referenced possible "deals" or regime change through non-military means. Recent naval presence in the Caribbean and limited military contacts near Guantanamo reflect posturing rather than invasion preparations. With no direct military action launched and negotiations referenced into May 2026, traders assess full-scale invasion by year-end as unlikely absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$2,365,064종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened economic and diplomatic pressure from the Trump administration, including a January 2026 executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat, an oil blockade on third-country suppliers, expanded sanctions, and preparations to indict former leader Raúl Castro, has driven trader consensus toward "No." These measures follow the U.S. capture of Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro and aim to isolate Havana amid its fuel shortages and economic crisis, while Trump has referenced possible "deals" or regime change through non-military means. Recent naval presence in the Caribbean and limited military contacts near Guantanamo reflect posturing rather than invasion preparations. With no direct military action launched and negotiations referenced into May 2026, traders assess full-scale invasion by year-end as unlikely absent major escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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