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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$1,600,034 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$1,600,034
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 9:02 PM
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Beware of external links.

$1,600,034 Vol.

Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

December 31, 2025

$1,533,672 Vol.

6%

March 31, 2026

$66,362 Vol.

17%

About

Volume
$1,600,034
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 9:02 PM