Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$1,600,034 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31, 2025
$1,533,672 Vol.
6%
December 31, 2025
$1,533,672 Vol.
6%
March 31, 2026
$66,362 Vol.
17%
March 31, 2026
$66,362 Vol.
17%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Created At: Sep 6, 2025, 9:02 PM
Volume
$1,600,034End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 9:02 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...$1,600,034 Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31, 2025
$1,533,672 Vol.
6%
March 31, 2026
$66,362 Vol.
17%
About
Volume
$1,600,034End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 9:02 PMResolver
0x65070BE91...



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