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Trump Presidency polymarkets
Trump Presidency
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$152m Vol.
$7m today
$4m Liq.
351
Ends in 12 months
40%
Kevin Warsh
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$12m Vol.
$370k today
$316k Liq.
1,127
Ends in 3 months
18%
December 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$8m Vol.
$154k today
$1m Liq.
20,361
15%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
$2m Vol.
$150k today
$97.9k Liq.
174
25%
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
$738k Vol.
$52.7k today
$62.4k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
32%
June 30
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
$116k Liq.
276
Ends in about 2 months
43%
$200–500b
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$638k Vol.
$108k Liq.
17%
Kristi Noem
US x Russia military clash by...?
$488k Vol.
$18.9k Liq.
11
December 31, 2026
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
$1m Vol.
$24.1k Liq.
30
66%
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
$4m Vol.
$67.9k Liq.
91%
250-500k
Ukraine hits Moscow by....?
$461k Vol.
$6.1k Liq.
249
Ends in 6 days
4%
January 15
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$16.2k Liq.
116
8%
June 30, 2026
Will Trump visit China by...?
$873k Vol.
$31.0k Liq.
27
Ends in 4 months
78%
April 30, 2026
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
$269k Vol.
$33.5k Liq.
16
13%
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
$504k Vol.
$2.2k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
38%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$4.0k Vol.
$4.3k Liq.
5
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$466k Vol.
$31.6k Liq.
10
61%
No meeting by June 30
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$881k Vol.
$31.4k Liq.
33
7%
March 31
Trump cabinet member out by...?
$95.2k Vol.
$2.0k Liq.
14
67%
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
$46.7k Vol.
$36.5k Liq.
82%
Donald Trump
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