34 Trump Presidency prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

40%

Kevin Warsh

$152m Vol.

$7m today

$4m Liq.

351

Ends in 12 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

18%

December 31

$12m Vol.

$370k today

$316k Liq.

1,127

Ends in 3 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

15%

$8m Vol.

$154k today

$1m Liq.

20,361

Ends in 3 months

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

25%

$2m Vol.

$150k today

$97.9k Liq.

174

Ends in 12 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

32%

June 30

$738k Vol.

$52.7k today

$62.4k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

43%

$200–500b

$2m Vol.

$116k Liq.

276

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

17%

Kristi Noem

$638k Vol.

$108k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$488k Vol.

$18.9k Liq.

11

Ends in 12 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

66%

June 30

$1m Vol.

$24.1k Liq.

30

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

91%

250-500k

$4m Vol.

$67.9k Liq.

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

Trump Presidency

Ukraine

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

4%

January 15

$461k Vol.

$6.1k Liq.

249

Ends in 6 days

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

8%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$16.2k Liq.

116

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

78%

April 30, 2026

$873k Vol.

$31.0k Liq.

27

Ends in 4 months

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

13%

$269k Vol.

$33.5k Liq.

16

Ends in 12 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Trump Presidency

Politics

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

38%

June 30

$504k Vol.

$2.2k Liq.

24

Ends in 6 months

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

25%

$4.0k Vol.

$4.3k Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

61%

No meeting by June 30

$466k Vol.

$31.6k Liq.

10

Ends in 6 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Russia

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

7%

March 31

$881k Vol.

$31.4k Liq.

33

Ends in 12 months

Trump cabinet member out by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump cabinet member out by...?

67%

December 31, 2026

$95.2k Vol.

$2.0k Liq.

14

Ends in 12 months

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

82%

Donald Trump

$46.7k Vol.

$36.5k Liq.

Ends in 3 months