Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

98%

Kevin Warsh

$356m Vol.

$19m today

$43m Liq.

1,069

Ends in 11 months

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

100%

Alan Dershowitz

$780k Vol.

$371k today

$125k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

29%

Kristi Noem

$2m Vol.

$293k today

$156k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

76%

<$100b

$4m Vol.

$136k today

$122k Liq.

363

Ends in 28 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

15%

$12m Vol.

$128k today

$524k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

Trump Presidency

Politics

When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

99%

No Bill passed by Jan 31

$583k Vol.

$117k today

$52.7k Liq.

22

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

85%

250-500k

$5m Vol.

$62.3k today

$69.4k Liq.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

12%

December 31

$13m Vol.

$109k Liq.

1,199

Ends in about 2 months

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

$4m Vol.

$42.7k Liq.

301

Ends in 11 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

52%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$26.3k Liq.

377

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$101k Vol.

$36.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

51%

No meeting by June 30

$539k Vol.

$63.8k Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$547k Vol.

$39.6k Liq.

13

Ends in 11 months

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

15%

$385k Vol.

$38.7k Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

18%

June 30

$1m Vol.

$14.5k Liq.

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

9%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

117

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

1%

$1m Vol.

$17.0k Liq.

40

Ends in 28 days

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

83%

April 30, 2026

$993k Vol.

$19.3k Liq.

35

Ends in 3 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

3%

$164k Vol.

$5.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 28 days

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$317k Vol.

$71.3k Liq.

19

Ends in 11 months