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Politics·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Politics·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Ended: Jul 29

Ended: Jul 29

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$310,860 Vol.

Jul 29, 2026
Polymarket

$310,860 Vol.

Polymarket

Innovation

$6,804 Vol.

No

Progress

$6,188 Vol.

Yes

Holding

$610 Vol.

No

Spending

$5,803 Vol.

No

Inflation 40+ times

$9,099 Vol.

No

Inflation 20+ times

$13,946 Vol.

Yes

Task Force 20+ times

$7,599 Vol.

No

Good day

$32,691 Vol.

Yes

Groupthink / Group think

$1,672 Vol.

No

Independence

$4,320 Vol.

No

Echo of History

$2,195 Vol.

No

North Star

$2,180 Vol.

Yes

Predecessor

$3,793 Vol.

Yes

Bet / Betting

$13,833 Vol.

Yes

Trump

$16,460 Vol.

No

Balance Sheet

$7,525 Vol.

Yes

Central Bank

$3,526 Vol.

Yes

Productivity

$15,686 Vol.

Yes

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$23,180 Vol.

Yes

Shock

$4,886 Vol.

Yes

Oil

$4,309 Vol.

No

Uncertainty

$3,399 Vol.

Yes

Restrictive

$7,121 Vol.

Yes

Projection

$10,647 Vol.

No

President

$5,805 Vol.

No

Dollar

$2,752 Vol.

Yes

Anchor / Anchored

$2,992 Vol.

No

Recession

$4,816 Vol.

No

Consumer Confidence

$6,482 Vol.

No

Iran

$6,347 Vol.

No

Tax

$4,037 Vol.

No

Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$5,228 Vol.

No

Dissent

$19,871 Vol.

No

Pandemic

$4,385 Vol.

Yes

Renovation

$3,897 Vol.

No

Good Afternoon

$22,981 Vol.

No

-No Qualifying Event-

$13,793 Vol.

No

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$310,860
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$310,860
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Progress" at 100%, followed by "Inflation 20+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" has generated $310.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" is "Progress" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inflation 20+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.