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Unemployment predictions & odds

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

45%

5.0%

$358K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

35%

4.3%

$13.7K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

13%

$5.8K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

97%

Up

$8.7K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

64%

Up

$22.8K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

32%

50k – 100k

$5.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

79%

↓ 0.0014

$99.5K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

52%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

109

Ends in 2 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

49%

↑ 48

$88.5K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

44%

↑ 600

$209K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

32%

↓ $2.40

$255K Vol.

$232K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 50

$23.2K Vol.

$94 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

42%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$184 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

39%

↑ $212

$50.8K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$743K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

13

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 60

$633K Vol.

$327K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

52%

↓ 8

$4.1K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

28%

↑ 85

$207K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

79%

↑ $4,900

$112K Vol.

$50.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

50%

40-59

$1.4K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Unemployment.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Unemployment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Unemployment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.