2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

56%

≤2.9%

$14.5K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

10%

$3M Vol.

$161K today

$275K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

April 30

$597K Vol.

$74.2K today

$105K Liq.

46

Ends in 25 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

53%

45+

$86.9K Vol.

$44.2K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

32%

$123K Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

99%

0-10

$425K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

99%

0-10

$2M Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

56%

20+

$31.7K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

43%

0-10

$41.7K Vol.

$66.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

2%

20+

$666K Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)

41%

30-39

$102 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12?

37%

4-7

$63 Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

<1%

$52.4K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

4

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

10%

$130K Vol.

$37.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$721K Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$421K Vol.

$97.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

74%

Hong Wang

$370K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.8K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

72%

$3.3K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

17%

Nothing

$15.8K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IMF.

Polymarket currently hosts 118 active markets for IMF that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 World GDP Growth”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IMF predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.