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Economy·BOI

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

icon for Bank of Israel Decision in September?
Economy·BOI

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

Aug 31

Sep 1

Aug 31

Sep 1

No Change 78%

Decrease 23%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$40,341 Vol.

No Change 78%

Decrease 23%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$40,341 Vol.

Decrease

$13,530 Vol.

23%

No Change

$23,111 Vol.

78%

Increase

$3,699 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Stable inflation near the 1-3% target range, a firm shekel, and reduced geopolitical risk premia after the U.S.-Iran ceasefire have anchored the Bank of Israel's policy at 3.5% following its July cut. Economic rebound signals, including 4% projected 2026 GDP growth, give the Monetary Committee room for patience while Governor Yaron's forward guidance points to a possible gradual path toward 3% over the medium term. These factors position no change as the dominant September outcome at 78% in trader consensus, with a modest 23% probability of an additional cut if upcoming data reinforce disinflation and only negligible odds of any hike.

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$40,341
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Stable inflation near the 1-3% target range, a firm shekel, and reduced geopolitical risk premia after the U.S.-Iran ceasefire have anchored the Bank of Israel's policy at 3.5% following its July cut. Economic rebound signals, including 4% projected 2026 GDP growth, give the Monetary Committee room for patience while Governor Yaron's forward guidance points to a possible gradual path toward 3% over the medium term. These factors position no change as the dominant September outcome at 78% in trader consensus, with a modest 23% probability of an additional cut if upcoming data reinforce disinflation and only negligible odds of any hike.

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$40,341
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Israel Decision in September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 78%, followed by "Decrease" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Israel Decision in September?" has generated $40.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Israel Decision in September?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Israel Decision in September?" is "No Change" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Decrease" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Israel Decision in September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.