Spotify's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 28 disclosed 761 million monthly active users, surpassing Wall Street consensus of 759 million and company guidance by 2 million, with 12% year-over-year growth propelled by 10 million net additions amid AI personalization advances and emerging market gains in Latin America and Asia. Premium subscribers reached 293 million, up 9%, driving €4.53 billion revenue and €715 million operating income—gross margins expanded to 33%. Shares dipped post-earnings on modest Q2 subscriber outlook, despite MAU guidance of 778 million. Traders eye competitive dynamics from YouTube and Apple Music, plus EU regulatory risks, as key swing factors for sustained user momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5,305 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
750M
Yes
760M
Yes
770M
No
780M
No
790M
No
800M
No
$5,305 Vol.
750M
$761 Vol.
Yes
760M
$394 Vol.
Yes
770M
$1,036 Vol.
No
780M
$2,302 Vol.
No
790M
$360 Vol.
No
800M
$451 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spotify’s total monthly active users for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Spotify’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Spotify's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 28 disclosed 761 million monthly active users, surpassing Wall Street consensus of 759 million and company guidance by 2 million, with 12% year-over-year growth propelled by 10 million net additions amid AI personalization advances and emerging market gains in Latin America and Asia. Premium subscribers reached 293 million, up 9%, driving €4.53 billion revenue and €715 million operating income—gross margins expanded to 33%. Shares dipped post-earnings on modest Q2 subscriber outlook, despite MAU guidance of 778 million. Traders eye competitive dynamics from YouTube and Apple Music, plus EU regulatory risks, as key swing factors for sustained user momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spotify’s total monthly active users for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Spotify’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Spotify’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$5,305End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spotify’s total monthly active users for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Spotify’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Spotify's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 28 disclosed 761 million monthly active users, surpassing Wall Street consensus of 759 million and company guidance by 2 million, with 12% year-over-year growth propelled by 10 million net additions amid AI personalization advances and emerging market gains in Latin America and Asia. Premium subscribers reached 293 million, up 9%, driving €4.53 billion revenue and €715 million operating income—gross margins expanded to 33%. Shares dipped post-earnings on modest Q2 subscriber outlook, despite MAU guidance of 778 million. Traders eye competitive dynamics from YouTube and Apple Music, plus EU regulatory risks, as key swing factors for sustained user momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spotify’s total monthly active users for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Spotify’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Spotify’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$5,305End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Spotify's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 28 disclosed 761 million monthly active users, surpassing Wall Street consensus of 759 million and company guidance by 2 million, with 12% year-over-year growth propelled by 10 million net additions amid AI personalization advances and emerging market gains in Latin America and Asia. Premium subscribers reached 293 million, up 9%, driving €4.53 billion revenue and €715 million operating income—gross margins expanded to 33%. Shares dipped post-earnings on modest Q2 subscriber outlook, despite MAU guidance of 778 million. Traders eye competitive dynamics from YouTube and Apple Music, plus EU regulatory risks, as key swing factors for sustained user momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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