Skip to main content

Ship predictions & odds

·
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

12%

$685K Vol.

$87.0K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

9%

$2M Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

6%

$92.1K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

17%

$282K Vol.

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

3%

$488K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

10

Ends in about 2 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

45%

$99.4K Vol.

$48.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

17%

$173K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

7%

$33.3K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

7%

$12.4K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

43%

2-3

$2.6K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

74%

Iran

$4.4K Vol.

$39.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 days

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

3%

$51.8K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M Vol.

$994K today

$163K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

93%

25-49

$693K Vol.

$384K today

$63.4K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

74%

20+

$249K Vol.

$86.1K today

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

50%

25-49

$45.7K Vol.

$87.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

97%

0-10

$608K Vol.

$333K today

$87.8K Liq.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

14%

$305K Vol.

$103K today

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

41%

0-10

$14.3K Vol.

$99.3K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ship.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for Ship that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 20+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ship predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.