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Wildfire predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

89%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

125

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

64%

$559K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$643K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

27%

$218K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$80.4K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Fire Flux Esports

$14.5K Vol.

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

33

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

97%

$715

$1.3K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

6%

May 31

$144K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

10

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs

100%

Infinite

$1.6K Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

59%

0

$1M Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

Fire Flux Esports

$40.6K Vol.

$3 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Infinite

$2.4K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

Fire Flux Esports

$3.1K Vol.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

84%

$95

$1.5K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

Fire Flux Esports

$9.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever

Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever

63%

Indiana Fever

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Rocket League: Wildcard vs FUT Esports (BO5) - RLCS Major Paris Group A

Rocket League: Wildcard vs FUT Esports (BO5) - RLCS Major Paris Group A

50%

FUT Esports

$0 Vol.

$871 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

44%

↑ 16

$37.5K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Wildfire.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Wildfire that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Wildfire predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.