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Arrested predictions & odds

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Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

52%

Lee Jun-seok

$91.4K Vol.

$136K Liq.

4

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

2%

$163K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

32%

$16.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

25%

$14.6K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

11

Ends in 14 days

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

11%

$320K Vol.

$44.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?

Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?

3%

$1.6K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

2%

$13.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

10%

$7.5K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

2%

$3.2K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

75%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.4K Vol.

$568 Liq.

2

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

31%

June 30

$5.6K Vol.

$643 Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

10%

June 30

$68.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

59%

No Prison Time

$19.0K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

Don Lemon charges dropped?

Don Lemon charges dropped?

12%

$13.7K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

27%

$6.4K Vol.

$485 Liq.

3

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

41%

$52.3K Vol.

$296 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

11%

$292K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

45

Ends in 8 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$50.9K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

30%

June 30

$224K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

18

Ends in about 1 month

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

18%

$61.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Arrested.

Polymarket currently hosts 118 active markets for Arrested that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will be arrested before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Arrested predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.