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Plane predictions & odds

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Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

5%

$21.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

51%

December 31, 2027

$474K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

33

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

46

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

20%

May 31

$135K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

10

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$644 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$638K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

2%

$118K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?

Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?

<1%

$91.1K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 days

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

39%

May 31

$12M Vol.

$759K today

$118K Liq.

652

Ends in 19 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?

98%

$715

$697 Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

2%

$197K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

7%

$10.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?

100%

$710

$35.7K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

51%

17.5-18m

$196 Vol.

$617 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

28%

May 31

$702K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

28

Ends in 19 days

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

6%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

65

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 12?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 12?

92%

$93

$0 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

92%

<5

$6.7K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Plane.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Plane that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to May 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Plane predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.