Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 after his father’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the current conflict. He has issued no verified public appearances since, with U.S. intelligence assessing that he directs strategy from an undisclosed secure location inside the country while recovering from injuries sustained in the initial attacks. Recent written statements released through official channels, including May declarations on regional security and control of the Strait of Hormuz, reinforce internal continuity rather than any exit. Ongoing military tensions and regime efforts to project unified command have kept trader consensus on near-term departure extremely low, with scheduled resolution dates through June reflecting the absence of confirmed travel or relocation reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,633,968 交易量
5月31日
<1%
6月30日
2%
$1,633,968 交易量
5月31日
<1%
6月30日
2%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 after his father’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the current conflict. He has issued no verified public appearances since, with U.S. intelligence assessing that he directs strategy from an undisclosed secure location inside the country while recovering from injuries sustained in the initial attacks. Recent written statements released through official channels, including May declarations on regional security and control of the Strait of Hormuz, reinforce internal continuity rather than any exit. Ongoing military tensions and regime efforts to project unified command have kept trader consensus on near-term departure extremely low, with scheduled resolution dates through June reflecting the absence of confirmed travel or relocation reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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