Market icon
World·Economic Policy

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Market icon
World·Economic Policy

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Apr 10

May 28

Apr 10

May 28

No Change 62%

Increase 21%

Decrease 12%

Polymarket
NEW

No Change 62%

Increase 21%

Decrease 12%

Polymarket
NEW

Decrease

$0 Vol.

12%

No Change

$0 Vol.

62%

Increase

$6,996 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% in its May 30 decision, reflecting cooling headline inflation—April CPI eased to 2.5% year-over-year from March's 2.9%—yet persistent core pressures around 2.3% and robust semiconductor exports bolstering growth. The 21% odds for a hike appear driven by upside risks from U.S. policy divergence and household debt dynamics, while a 11.5% chance of easing underscores sticky services inflation above the 2% target amid weak domestic demand. Recent BOK minutes emphasized data-dependence, with no immediate pivot signaled; watch upcoming GDP data and the June meeting for shifts in rate path expectations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% in its May 30 decision, reflecting cooling headline inflation—April CPI eased to 2.5% year-over-year from March's 2.9%—yet persistent core pressures around 2.3% and robust semiconductor exports bolstering growth. The 21% odds for a hike appear driven by upside risks from U.S. policy divergence and household debt dynamics, while a 11.5% chance of easing underscores sticky services inflation above the 2% target amid weak domestic demand. Recent BOK minutes emphasized data-dependence, with no immediate pivot signaled; watch upcoming GDP data and the June meeting for shifts in rate path expectations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% in its May 30 decision, reflecting cooling headline inflation—April CPI eased to 2.5% year-over-year from March's 2.9%—yet persistent core pressures around 2.3% and robust semiconductor exports bolstering growth. The 21% odds for a hike appear driven by upside risks from U.S. policy divergence and household debt dynamics, while a 11.5% chance of easing underscores sticky services inflation above the 2% target amid weak domestic demand. Recent BOK minutes emphasized data-dependence, with no immediate pivot signaled; watch upcoming GDP data and the June meeting for shifts in rate path expectations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 3.50% in its May 30 decision, reflecting cooling headline inflation—April CPI eased to 2.5% year-over-year from March's 2.9%—yet persistent core pressures around 2.3% and robust semiconductor exports bolstering growth. The 21% odds for a hike appear driven by upside risks from U.S. policy divergence and household debt dynamics, while a 11.5% chance of easing underscores sticky services inflation above the 2% target amid weak domestic demand. Recent BOK minutes emphasized data-dependence, with no immediate pivot signaled; watch upcoming GDP data and the June meeting for shifts in rate path expectations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Korea decision in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 62%, followed by "Increase" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bank of Korea decision in May?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bank of Korea decision in May?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Korea decision in May?" is "No Change" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Increase" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Korea decision in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.