Market icon
Economy·Economic Policy

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

Market icon
Economy·Economic Policy

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

Apr 30

Apr 30

Increase 65%

No change 34%

Decrease <1%

Polymarket

$18,904 Vol.

Increase 65%

No change 34%

Decrease <1%

Polymarket

$18,904 Vol.

Decrease

$7,217 Vol.

<1%

No change

$4,348 Vol.

34%

Increase

$7,339 Vol.

65%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability of another Banco de la República rate hike at its April 30, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after the central bank's aggressive 100-basis-point increase to 11.25% effective April 1, following February CPI at 5.29% year-over-year and March estimates near 5.5%, with core inflation at 6.1%. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel and wage dynamics have reinforced hawkish sentiment, outweighing year-end inflation expectations of 6.3%. No-change odds at 34% capture tensions from the finance minister's board withdrawal on March 31, protesting higher borrowing costs, while a cut remains negligible amid sticky price data. Upcoming March CPI release could sway positioning ahead of the policy vote.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$18,904
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 65% implied probability of another Banco de la República rate hike at its April 30, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures after the central bank's aggressive 100-basis-point increase to 11.25% effective April 1, following February CPI at 5.29% year-over-year and March estimates near 5.5%, with core inflation at 6.1%. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel and wage dynamics have reinforced hawkish sentiment, outweighing year-end inflation expectations of 6.3%. No-change odds at 34% capture tensions from the finance minister's board withdrawal on March 31, protesting higher borrowing costs, while a cut remains negligible amid sticky price data. Upcoming March CPI release could sway positioning ahead of the policy vote.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$18,904
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Increase" at 65%, followed by "No change" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" has generated $18.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" is "Increase" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No change" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.