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Bank of Korea decision in April?

Market icon

Bank of Korea decision in April?

No Change 98.5%

Increase 1.1%

Decrease <1%

Polymarket

$52,357 Vol.

No Change 98.5%

Increase 1.1%

Decrease <1%

Polymarket

$52,357 Vol.

Decrease

$8,468 Vol.

<1%

No Change

$31,648 Vol.

99%

Increase

$12,241 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in its April 10 meeting, extending a pause spanning six consecutive decisions since July 2025 amid balanced economic risks. This strong positioning stems from March 2026 CPI inflation at 2.2% year-over-year—up slightly from February's 2.0% but undershooting forecasts of 2.4%—keeping price pressures near the central bank's 2% target, alongside upgraded 2026 GDP growth projections to 2.0%. Recent unanimous holds and a Reuters poll forecasting no changes through year-end reinforce the neutral monetary policy stance under new Governor Rhee Chang-yong. Realistic challenges include a sharper energy-led inflation surge from Mideast tensions or accelerated won depreciation prompting a hike, though current data shows limited upside risks ahead of the decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$52,357
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in its April 10 meeting, extending a pause spanning six consecutive decisions since July 2025 amid balanced economic risks. This strong positioning stems from March 2026 CPI inflation at 2.2% year-over-year—up slightly from February's 2.0% but undershooting forecasts of 2.4%—keeping price pressures near the central bank's 2% target, alongside upgraded 2026 GDP growth projections to 2.0%. Recent unanimous holds and a Reuters poll forecasting no changes through year-end reinforce the neutral monetary policy stance under new Governor Rhee Chang-yong. Realistic challenges include a sharper energy-led inflation surge from Mideast tensions or accelerated won depreciation prompting a hike, though current data shows limited upside risks ahead of the decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$52,357
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Korea decision in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 99%, followed by "Increase" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Korea decision in April?" has generated $52.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Korea decision in April?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Korea decision in April?" is "No Change" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Increase" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Korea decision in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.