Polymarket traders price a 99% implied probability on the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% for the April 9 decision, reflecting strong consensus from the central bank's neutral stance affirmed in its February 26 unanimous hold—the fifth consecutive—and upward revision to 2026 GDP growth at 2.0% amid robust semiconductor exports. Headline inflation eased to 2.0% year-over-year in January, aligning with the 2% target despite core pressures, supporting the current policy path as economic risks remain balanced. Upside risks to oil-driven April inflation from Mideast tensions could prompt a rare hike if exceeding forecasts, while a sharper Q1 GDP slowdown might revive cut expectations, though both appear low-probability given recent data stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in April?
Bank of Korea decision in April?
No Change 99.0%
Increase <1%
Decrease <1%
$38,101 Vol.
$38,101 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
99%
Increase
1%
No Change 99.0%
Increase <1%
Decrease <1%
$38,101 Vol.
$38,101 Vol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
99%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 99% implied probability on the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% for the April 9 decision, reflecting strong consensus from the central bank's neutral stance affirmed in its February 26 unanimous hold—the fifth consecutive—and upward revision to 2026 GDP growth at 2.0% amid robust semiconductor exports. Headline inflation eased to 2.0% year-over-year in January, aligning with the 2% target despite core pressures, supporting the current policy path as economic risks remain balanced. Upside risks to oil-driven April inflation from Mideast tensions could prompt a rare hike if exceeding forecasts, while a sharper Q1 GDP slowdown might revive cut expectations, though both appear low-probability given recent data stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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