Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver keeping ground beef prices near record levels around $6.90 per pound through mid-2026. Persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and slow heifer retention have constrained beef production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds for the year, down from prior peaks, while strong consumer demand for protein sustains upward pressure despite moderating year-over-year gains. Lean trimmings imports and heavier carcass weights provide partial offsets for ground beef specifically, yet herd rebuilding is expected to take years. Traders are monitoring upcoming USDA Cattle reports, corn prices, and any border or disease developments that could alter 2026 supply dynamics before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$22,717 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
85%
$8.000+
17%
$9.000+
29%
$10.000+
9%
$22,717 Vol.
$7.000+
$129 Vol.
85%
$8.000+
$2,195 Vol.
17%
$9.000+
$788 Vol.
29%
$10.000+
$19,605 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver keeping ground beef prices near record levels around $6.90 per pound through mid-2026. Persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and slow heifer retention have constrained beef production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds for the year, down from prior peaks, while strong consumer demand for protein sustains upward pressure despite moderating year-over-year gains. Lean trimmings imports and heavier carcass weights provide partial offsets for ground beef specifically, yet herd rebuilding is expected to take years. Traders are monitoring upcoming USDA Cattle reports, corn prices, and any border or disease developments that could alter 2026 supply dynamics before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$22,717End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver keeping ground beef prices near record levels around $6.90 per pound through mid-2026. Persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and slow heifer retention have constrained beef production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds for the year, down from prior peaks, while strong consumer demand for protein sustains upward pressure despite moderating year-over-year gains. Lean trimmings imports and heavier carcass weights provide partial offsets for ground beef specifically, yet herd rebuilding is expected to take years. Traders are monitoring upcoming USDA Cattle reports, corn prices, and any border or disease developments that could alter 2026 supply dynamics before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$22,717End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver keeping ground beef prices near record levels around $6.90 per pound through mid-2026. Persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and slow heifer retention have constrained beef production forecasts to roughly 25 billion pounds for the year, down from prior peaks, while strong consumer demand for protein sustains upward pressure despite moderating year-over-year gains. Lean trimmings imports and heavier carcass weights provide partial offsets for ground beef specifically, yet herd rebuilding is expected to take years. Traders are monitoring upcoming USDA Cattle reports, corn prices, and any border or disease developments that could alter 2026 supply dynamics before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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