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icon for Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

icon for Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Up

89% szansa
Polymarket

$25,326 Wol.

Up

89% szansa
Polymarket

$25,326 Wol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025 because year-to-date cuts are running well ahead of last year’s pace, driven by widespread AI adoption that enables automation of roles in software engineering, support, and operations. Major firms including Meta, Amazon, and Oracle have announced significant reductions this year, often explicitly linking them to efficiency gains and redirected investment toward large language models and other AI tools. Broader economic layoffs have declined, but the tech sector shows no such reversal, with surveys of hiring managers indicating AI remains a top anticipated driver through year-end. This sustained restructuring momentum underpins the strong market consensus.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$25,326
Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Traders assign an 88.5% implied probability to more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025 because year-to-date cuts are running well ahead of last year’s pace, driven by widespread AI adoption that enables automation of roles in software engineering, support, and operations. Major firms including Meta, Amazon, and Oracle have announced significant reductions this year, often explicitly linking them to efficiency gains and redirected investment toward large language models and other AI tools. Broader economic layoffs have declined, but the tech sector shows no such reversal, with surveys of hiring managers indicating AI remains a top anticipated driver through year-end. This sustained restructuring momentum underpins the strong market consensus.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$25,326
Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" to dzienny rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, czy cena Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? zakończy wyżej ("W górę") czy niżej ("W dół") od ceny otwarcia w oknie dzienny. Obecne prawdopodobieństwo to 89% na "Up". Ceny aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" wygenerował $25.3K łącznego wolumenu. Rynki Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? W górę/W dół przyciągają aktywnych traderów reagujących na ruchy cenowe w czasie rzeczywistym. Możesz śledzić ceny na żywo i handlować bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?", zdecyduj, czy cena Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? o 12:00 ET w dniu February 27 będzie wyższa ("W górę") czy niższa ("W dół") od ceny o 12:00 ET w dniu March 20.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" to 89% na "Up", co oznacza, że tłum Polymarket przypisuje 89% szansy, że cena Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? zakończy up. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym. W ciągu pełnego dnia kursy odzwierciedlają ewoluujące nastroje.

Rynek "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" rozstrzyga się na podstawie porównania ceny Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? o 12:00 ET w dniu February 27 z ceną o 12:00 ET w dniu March 20, używając cen zamknięcia 1-minutowych świec Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT.