Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by over 128,000 job cuts across 286 companies in the first four months alone—averaging 1,000 daily, per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—surpassing last year's pace amid AI-driven restructuring. Meta's planned 10% workforce reduction (around 8,000 roles by late May), alongside cuts at Amazon, Snap, Oracle, and Intel explicitly tied to artificial intelligence efficiencies and automation, have accelerated sentiment. While economic softening and hiring freezes contribute, the structural pivot to AI capabilities dominates, with Q2 earnings calls looming as key catalysts that could confirm or temper the upward trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Up
$25,123 Wol.
$25,123 Wol.
Feb 28, 2027
Up
$25,123 Wol.
$25,123 Wol.
Feb 28, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by over 128,000 job cuts across 286 companies in the first four months alone—averaging 1,000 daily, per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—surpassing last year's pace amid AI-driven restructuring. Meta's planned 10% workforce reduction (around 8,000 roles by late May), alongside cuts at Amazon, Snap, Oracle, and Intel explicitly tied to artificial intelligence efficiencies and automation, have accelerated sentiment. While economic softening and hiring freezes contribute, the structural pivot to AI capabilities dominates, with Q2 earnings calls looming as key catalysts that could confirm or temper the upward trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,123Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by over 128,000 job cuts across 286 companies in the first four months alone—averaging 1,000 daily, per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—surpassing last year's pace amid AI-driven restructuring. Meta's planned 10% workforce reduction (around 8,000 roles by late May), alongside cuts at Amazon, Snap, Oracle, and Intel explicitly tied to artificial intelligence efficiencies and automation, have accelerated sentiment. While economic softening and hiring freezes contribute, the structural pivot to AI capabilities dominates, with Q2 earnings calls looming as key catalysts that could confirm or temper the upward trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$25,123Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2027Rynek otwarty
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by over 128,000 job cuts across 286 companies in the first four months alone—averaging 1,000 daily, per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—surpassing last year's pace amid AI-driven restructuring. Meta's planned 10% workforce reduction (around 8,000 roles by late May), alongside cuts at Amazon, Snap, Oracle, and Intel explicitly tied to artificial intelligence efficiencies and automation, have accelerated sentiment. While economic softening and hiring freezes contribute, the structural pivot to AI capabilities dominates, with Q2 earnings calls looming as key catalysts that could confirm or temper the upward trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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