**Trader consensus on Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 centers on the 0-1.0% range at 71.8% implied probability, reflecting official and private forecasts clustered between 0.6% and 0.9%.** The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed baseline growth at 0.8%, revised down 0.1 percentage point from March amid the Middle East conflict’s energy-price shock and competitiveness pressures. The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (Q3 2026) showed a further downward revision to 0.6%. Recent data reinforce this moderate outlook: Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—stronger than expected—while Q1 was flat, with underlying momentum supported by defense and infrastructure spending but offset by higher energy costs pushing headline inflation to around 3.3% in August. Stable unemployment near 6.4% and resilient business sentiment provide a floor, yet persistent geopolitical risks and elevated input costs limit upside. The next Eurosystem projections, due mid-September, represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 71.8%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 2.9%
<0% 2.7%
$30,994 Wol.
$30,994 Wol.
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
72%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
3%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 71.8%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 2.9%
<0% 2.7%
$30,994 Wol.
$30,994 Wol.
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
72%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
3%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus on Eurozone annual GDP growth for 2026 centers on the 0-1.0% range at 71.8% implied probability, reflecting official and private forecasts clustered between 0.6% and 0.9%.** The June 2026 Eurosystem staff projections placed baseline growth at 0.8%, revised down 0.1 percentage point from March amid the Middle East conflict’s energy-price shock and competitiveness pressures. The ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (Q3 2026) showed a further downward revision to 0.6%. Recent data reinforce this moderate outlook: Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—stronger than expected—while Q1 was flat, with underlying momentum supported by defense and infrastructure spending but offset by higher energy costs pushing headline inflation to around 3.3% in August. Stable unemployment near 6.4% and resilient business sentiment provide a floor, yet persistent geopolitical risks and elevated input costs limit upside. The next Eurosystem projections, due mid-September, represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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