Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which strips out fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.7-2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, reflecting sticky domestic demand pressures amid a weak yen and elevated import costs. The Bank of Japan’s median forecast for fiscal 2026 stands at 2.2%, while government energy subsidies have weighed on headline figures, pulling them below the 2% target at times. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets because traders weigh persistent service and wage-driven inflation against potential further subsidy extensions or yen appreciation. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, BOJ policy communications, and any shifts in Middle East energy dynamics that could alter the inflation trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.6%
4.0%+ 1.6%
$36,181 Wol.
$36,181 Wol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
2%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%+
2%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.6%
4.0%+ 1.6%
$36,181 Wol.
$36,181 Wol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$11,016 Wol.
47%
2.0-2.4%
$14,858 Wol.
54%
2.5-2.9%
$8,280 Wol.
2%
3.0-3.4%
$586 Wol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$642 Wol.
1%
4.0%+
$798 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which strips out fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.7-2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, reflecting sticky domestic demand pressures amid a weak yen and elevated import costs. The Bank of Japan’s median forecast for fiscal 2026 stands at 2.2%, while government energy subsidies have weighed on headline figures, pulling them below the 2% target at times. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets because traders weigh persistent service and wage-driven inflation against potential further subsidy extensions or yen appreciation. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, BOJ policy communications, and any shifts in Middle East energy dynamics that could alter the inflation trajectory.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$36,181Data zakończenia
Feb 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which strips out fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.7-2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, reflecting sticky domestic demand pressures amid a weak yen and elevated import costs. The Bank of Japan’s median forecast for fiscal 2026 stands at 2.2%, while government energy subsidies have weighed on headline figures, pulling them below the 2% target at times. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets because traders weigh persistent service and wage-driven inflation against potential further subsidy extensions or yen appreciation. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, BOJ policy communications, and any shifts in Middle East energy dynamics that could alter the inflation trajectory.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$36,181Data zakończenia
Feb 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, which strips out fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.7-2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, reflecting sticky domestic demand pressures amid a weak yen and elevated import costs. The Bank of Japan’s median forecast for fiscal 2026 stands at 2.2%, while government energy subsidies have weighed on headline figures, pulling them below the 2% target at times. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% buckets because traders weigh persistent service and wage-driven inflation against potential further subsidy extensions or yen appreciation. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, BOJ policy communications, and any shifts in Middle East energy dynamics that could alter the inflation trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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