**Market-implied odds heavily favor no change in the Bank of England’s Bank Rate at the September 17, 2026 meeting, reflecting the latest easing in UK CPI to 2.6% in June alongside a cautious policy stance.** After holding rates at 3.75% in July on a 6-3 vote, with three members preferring a 25-basis-point hike, the Monetary Policy Committee continues to balance subdued underlying inflation pressures and softer labor market data against upside risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Those geopolitical factors are expected to lift headline inflation later in 2026, keeping the committee on hold for now while it monitors incoming releases. The August CPI print due August 19 will be a key near-term input ahead of the decision, as will any further shifts in market pricing of the Fed funds rate path and Treasury yields that influence global risk appetite. Strong trader consensus around unchanged policy underscores the data-dependent nature of the near-term outlook, though a material surprise in energy costs or services inflation could still tilt expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of England decision in September?
Bank of England decision in September?
No change 91%
25 bps increase 8.8%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$137,749 Wol.
$137,749 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
91%
25 bps increase
9%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 91%
25 bps increase 8.8%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$137,749 Wol.
$137,749 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$10,231 Wol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$12,841 Wol.
<1%
No change
$53,764 Wol.
91%
25 bps increase
$47,764 Wol.
9%
50+ bps increase
$13,147 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor no change in the Bank of England’s Bank Rate at the September 17, 2026 meeting, reflecting the latest easing in UK CPI to 2.6% in June alongside a cautious policy stance.** After holding rates at 3.75% in July on a 6-3 vote, with three members preferring a 25-basis-point hike, the Monetary Policy Committee continues to balance subdued underlying inflation pressures and softer labor market data against upside risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Those geopolitical factors are expected to lift headline inflation later in 2026, keeping the committee on hold for now while it monitors incoming releases. The August CPI print due August 19 will be a key near-term input ahead of the decision, as will any further shifts in market pricing of the Fed funds rate path and Treasury yields that influence global risk appetite. Strong trader consensus around unchanged policy underscores the data-dependent nature of the near-term outlook, though a material surprise in energy costs or services inflation could still tilt expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$137,749Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor no change in the Bank of England’s Bank Rate at the September 17, 2026 meeting, reflecting the latest easing in UK CPI to 2.6% in June alongside a cautious policy stance.** After holding rates at 3.75% in July on a 6-3 vote, with three members preferring a 25-basis-point hike, the Monetary Policy Committee continues to balance subdued underlying inflation pressures and softer labor market data against upside risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Those geopolitical factors are expected to lift headline inflation later in 2026, keeping the committee on hold for now while it monitors incoming releases. The August CPI print due August 19 will be a key near-term input ahead of the decision, as will any further shifts in market pricing of the Fed funds rate path and Treasury yields that influence global risk appetite. Strong trader consensus around unchanged policy underscores the data-dependent nature of the near-term outlook, though a material surprise in energy costs or services inflation could still tilt expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Wolumen
$137,749Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor no change in the Bank of England’s Bank Rate at the September 17, 2026 meeting, reflecting the latest easing in UK CPI to 2.6% in June alongside a cautious policy stance.** After holding rates at 3.75% in July on a 6-3 vote, with three members preferring a 25-basis-point hike, the Monetary Policy Committee continues to balance subdued underlying inflation pressures and softer labor market data against upside risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Those geopolitical factors are expected to lift headline inflation later in 2026, keeping the committee on hold for now while it monitors incoming releases. The August CPI print due August 19 will be a key near-term input ahead of the decision, as will any further shifts in market pricing of the Fed funds rate path and Treasury yields that influence global risk appetite. Strong trader consensus around unchanged policy underscores the data-dependent nature of the near-term outlook, though a material surprise in energy costs or services inflation could still tilt expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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