Recent readings of Japan's core CPI excluding fresh food near 1.8% year-over-year through mid-2026, supported by government energy subsidies, have anchored trader sentiment around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets amid closely matched implied probabilities. Persistent yen weakness, Middle East-related crude oil pressures, and broadening cost pass-through to food and services point to potential acceleration in the second half of the year, while Bank of Japan projections and analyst forecasts anticipate underlying measures approaching or exceeding 2% as wage momentum builds. Key swing factors include the pace of BOJ rate normalization, energy price volatility, and any revisions to fiscal-year inflation outlooks, leaving the annual 2026 outcome sensitive to developments through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano≤1.9% 51.0%
2.0-2.4% 46%
2.5-2.9% 1.5%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,689 Wol.
$40,689 Wol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
46%
2.5-2.9%
2%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.0%
2.0-2.4% 46%
2.5-2.9% 1.5%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,689 Wol.
$40,689 Wol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$19,302 Wol.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,374 Wol.
46%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 Wol.
2%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Wol.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 Wol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan's core CPI excluding fresh food near 1.8% year-over-year through mid-2026, supported by government energy subsidies, have anchored trader sentiment around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets amid closely matched implied probabilities. Persistent yen weakness, Middle East-related crude oil pressures, and broadening cost pass-through to food and services point to potential acceleration in the second half of the year, while Bank of Japan projections and analyst forecasts anticipate underlying measures approaching or exceeding 2% as wage momentum builds. Key swing factors include the pace of BOJ rate normalization, energy price volatility, and any revisions to fiscal-year inflation outlooks, leaving the annual 2026 outcome sensitive to developments through year-end.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,689Data zakończenia
Jan 22, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan's core CPI excluding fresh food near 1.8% year-over-year through mid-2026, supported by government energy subsidies, have anchored trader sentiment around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets amid closely matched implied probabilities. Persistent yen weakness, Middle East-related crude oil pressures, and broadening cost pass-through to food and services point to potential acceleration in the second half of the year, while Bank of Japan projections and analyst forecasts anticipate underlying measures approaching or exceeding 2% as wage momentum builds. Key swing factors include the pace of BOJ rate normalization, energy price volatility, and any revisions to fiscal-year inflation outlooks, leaving the annual 2026 outcome sensitive to developments through year-end.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$40,689Data zakończenia
Jan 22, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan's core CPI excluding fresh food near 1.8% year-over-year through mid-2026, supported by government energy subsidies, have anchored trader sentiment around the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets amid closely matched implied probabilities. Persistent yen weakness, Middle East-related crude oil pressures, and broadening cost pass-through to food and services point to potential acceleration in the second half of the year, while Bank of Japan projections and analyst forecasts anticipate underlying measures approaching or exceeding 2% as wage momentum builds. Key swing factors include the pace of BOJ rate normalization, energy price volatility, and any revisions to fiscal-year inflation outlooks, leaving the annual 2026 outcome sensitive to developments through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania