Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50/dozen range for the March 2026 national average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting a sharp supply rebound from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) disruptions that peaked in 2025. Bureau of Labor Statistics data confirmed February's average at $2.50/dozen—down from $2.577 in January—while USDA's March 27 Egg Markets Overview reported national loose white large shell eggs at $1.17/dozen wholesale and advertised prices at a 2026 low of $1.80/dozen, underscoring ample table egg production up 4.6% year-over-year. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 band at 27.5% captures residual upside risk from seasonal Easter demand and potential spring wild bird migration reigniting HPAI, ahead of the forthcoming BLS March CPI release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 7.8%
$2.75–3.00 3.0%
$387,097 Vol.
$387,097 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
8%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 7.8%
$2.75–3.00 3.0%
$387,097 Vol.
$387,097 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
8%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50/dozen range for the March 2026 national average retail price of Grade A large eggs, reflecting a sharp supply rebound from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) disruptions that peaked in 2025. Bureau of Labor Statistics data confirmed February's average at $2.50/dozen—down from $2.577 in January—while USDA's March 27 Egg Markets Overview reported national loose white large shell eggs at $1.17/dozen wholesale and advertised prices at a 2026 low of $1.80/dozen, underscoring ample table egg production up 4.6% year-over-year. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 band at 27.5% captures residual upside risk from seasonal Easter demand and potential spring wild bird migration reigniting HPAI, ahead of the forthcoming BLS March CPI release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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