Polymarket traders price a 58.5% implied probability on the $2.25–$2.50/dozen range for March 2026 U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs per BLS data, with $2.50–$2.75 at 28%, driven by ongoing supply rebound from avian flu recovery. February's BLS reading printed at $2.50/dozen—down 3% from January's $2.577 and 57% below year-ago peaks—as laying hen flocks expanded by nine million birds, boosting table egg output and pushing wholesale advertised prices to 2026 lows near $1.80/dozen. Reduced outbreak severity this year has solidified trader consensus for modest softening around $2.40 amid stable feed costs, though spring bird flu migration risks linger; March BLS release expected mid-April could catalyze final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 7.2%
$2.75–3.00 4.3%
$386,690 Vol.
$386,690 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 7.2%
$2.75–3.00 4.3%
$386,690 Vol.
$386,690 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 58.5% implied probability on the $2.25–$2.50/dozen range for March 2026 U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs per BLS data, with $2.50–$2.75 at 28%, driven by ongoing supply rebound from avian flu recovery. February's BLS reading printed at $2.50/dozen—down 3% from January's $2.577 and 57% below year-ago peaks—as laying hen flocks expanded by nine million birds, boosting table egg output and pushing wholesale advertised prices to 2026 lows near $1.80/dozen. Reduced outbreak severity this year has solidified trader consensus for modest softening around $2.40 amid stable feed costs, though spring bird flu migration risks linger; March BLS release expected mid-April could catalyze final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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