INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.