India's Reserve Bank has projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27, citing elevated energy price risks from Middle East geopolitical tensions that have already pushed crude benchmarks above prior levels. April 2026 headline CPI printed at 3.48%, modestly above March but below consensus expectations, with food inflation at 4.2%. The central bank's decision to hold the policy repo rate at 5.25% while highlighting supply-side pressures has reinforced trader expectations that full-year 2026 readings will settle above the 4.50% threshold. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and the June monetary policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could influence the path of these market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,50%+ 85%
От 3,75% до 4,49% 7.4%
<0,75% 4.0%
1,50% до 2,24% 3.7%
$60,671 Объем
$60,671 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<0,75%
4%
0,75% до 1,49%
3%
1,50% до 2,24%
4%
2,25% – 2,99%
2%
От 3,00% до 3,74%
<1%
От 3,75% до 4,49%
7%
4,50%+
85%
4,50%+ 85%
От 3,75% до 4,49% 7.4%
<0,75% 4.0%
1,50% до 2,24% 3.7%
$60,671 Объем
$60,671 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<0,75%
$806 Объем
4%
0,75% до 1,49%
$525 Объем
3%
1,50% до 2,24%
$415 Объем
4%
2,25% – 2,99%
$23,764 Объем
2%
От 3,00% до 3,74%
$517 Объем
<1%
От 3,75% до 4,49%
$23,340 Объем
7%
4,50%+
$11,303 Объем
85%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's Reserve Bank has projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27, citing elevated energy price risks from Middle East geopolitical tensions that have already pushed crude benchmarks above prior levels. April 2026 headline CPI printed at 3.48%, modestly above March but below consensus expectations, with food inflation at 4.2%. The central bank's decision to hold the policy repo rate at 5.25% while highlighting supply-side pressures has reinforced trader expectations that full-year 2026 readings will settle above the 4.50% threshold. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and the June monetary policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could influence the path of these market-implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$60,671Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's Reserve Bank has projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27, citing elevated energy price risks from Middle East geopolitical tensions that have already pushed crude benchmarks above prior levels. April 2026 headline CPI printed at 3.48%, modestly above March but below consensus expectations, with food inflation at 4.2%. The central bank's decision to hold the policy repo rate at 5.25% while highlighting supply-side pressures has reinforced trader expectations that full-year 2026 readings will settle above the 4.50% threshold. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and the June monetary policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could influence the path of these market-implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Объем
$60,671Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's Reserve Bank has projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27, citing elevated energy price risks from Middle East geopolitical tensions that have already pushed crude benchmarks above prior levels. April 2026 headline CPI printed at 3.48%, modestly above March but below consensus expectations, with food inflation at 4.2%. The central bank's decision to hold the policy repo rate at 5.25% while highlighting supply-side pressures has reinforced trader expectations that full-year 2026 readings will settle above the 4.50% threshold. Upcoming monthly CPI releases and the June monetary policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could influence the path of these market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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