**RBI projections and analyst forecasts anchor trader consensus around India’s 2026 inflation outcome.** The central bank’s latest 4.6% CPI estimate for fiscal 2026-27, alongside Goldman Sachs’ 4.5% and Crisil’s 5.1% calls, reflects expectations of a moderate rebound from April’s 3.48% print—still below the 4% target midpoint but influenced by higher food prices and energy risks tied to Middle East tensions. Recent government measures have limited pass-through from global oil spikes, keeping near-term readings subdued, while structural factors such as revised CPI weights and adequate food stocks support stability within the 2-6% band. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ bucket as these forward-looking estimates dominate positioning ahead of subsequent monthly CPI releases and any RBI policy updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.50%及以上 85%
3.75%到4.49% 4.5%
低于0.75% 4.0%
0.75%到1.49% 2.9%
$60,671 交易量
$60,671 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
4%
0.75%到1.49%
3%
1.50%到2.24%
6%
2.25%到2.99%
2%
3.00%到3.74%
<1%
3.75%到4.49%
5%
4.50%及以上
85%
4.50%及以上 85%
3.75%到4.49% 4.5%
低于0.75% 4.0%
0.75%到1.49% 2.9%
$60,671 交易量
$60,671 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
$806 交易量
4%
0.75%到1.49%
$525 交易量
3%
1.50%到2.24%
$415 交易量
6%
2.25%到2.99%
$23,764 交易量
2%
3.00%到3.74%
$517 交易量
<1%
3.75%到4.49%
$23,340 交易量
5%
4.50%及以上
$11,303 交易量
85%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf**RBI projections and analyst forecasts anchor trader consensus around India’s 2026 inflation outcome.** The central bank’s latest 4.6% CPI estimate for fiscal 2026-27, alongside Goldman Sachs’ 4.5% and Crisil’s 5.1% calls, reflects expectations of a moderate rebound from April’s 3.48% print—still below the 4% target midpoint but influenced by higher food prices and energy risks tied to Middle East tensions. Recent government measures have limited pass-through from global oil spikes, keeping near-term readings subdued, while structural factors such as revised CPI weights and adequate food stocks support stability within the 2-6% band. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ bucket as these forward-looking estimates dominate positioning ahead of subsequent monthly CPI releases and any RBI policy updates.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$60,671结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf**RBI projections and analyst forecasts anchor trader consensus around India’s 2026 inflation outcome.** The central bank’s latest 4.6% CPI estimate for fiscal 2026-27, alongside Goldman Sachs’ 4.5% and Crisil’s 5.1% calls, reflects expectations of a moderate rebound from April’s 3.48% print—still below the 4% target midpoint but influenced by higher food prices and energy risks tied to Middle East tensions. Recent government measures have limited pass-through from global oil spikes, keeping near-term readings subdued, while structural factors such as revised CPI weights and adequate food stocks support stability within the 2-6% band. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ bucket as these forward-looking estimates dominate positioning ahead of subsequent monthly CPI releases and any RBI policy updates.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
交易量
$60,671结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**RBI projections and analyst forecasts anchor trader consensus around India’s 2026 inflation outcome.** The central bank’s latest 4.6% CPI estimate for fiscal 2026-27, alongside Goldman Sachs’ 4.5% and Crisil’s 5.1% calls, reflects expectations of a moderate rebound from April’s 3.48% print—still below the 4% target midpoint but influenced by higher food prices and energy risks tied to Middle East tensions. Recent government measures have limited pass-through from global oil spikes, keeping near-term readings subdued, while structural factors such as revised CPI weights and adequate food stocks support stability within the 2-6% band. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ bucket as these forward-looking estimates dominate positioning ahead of subsequent monthly CPI releases and any RBI policy updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题