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World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

icon for Nothing Ever Happens: March
World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Mar 31

Apr 30

May 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Apr 30

May 31

Dec 31

Nothing

61% chance
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

Nothing

61% chance
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors "Nothing" at 60.5% implied probability after most triggers lapsed without incident by March 31: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18 amid cooling inflation; the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture amid procedural hurdles; Iran's regime withstood U.S. airstrikes on Isfahan without collapsing; and President Trump neither declared an election interference national emergency nor invoked the Insurrection Act. The sole unresolved condition—James Talarico and John Cornyn both nominated as Texas Senate candidates—hinges on the GOP primary runoff scheduled for May 26, where Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Senator Cornyn 48%-45% per a May 5 University of Houston poll, tilting odds toward Talarico facing Paxton instead and preserving "Nothing."

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,774
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors "Nothing" at 60.5% implied probability after most triggers lapsed without incident by March 31: the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18 amid cooling inflation; the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture amid procedural hurdles; Iran's regime withstood U.S. airstrikes on Isfahan without collapsing; and President Trump neither declared an election interference national emergency nor invoked the Insurrection Act. The sole unresolved condition—James Talarico and John Cornyn both nominated as Texas Senate candidates—hinges on the GOP primary runoff scheduled for May 26, where Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Senator Cornyn 48%-45% per a May 5 University of Houston poll, tilting odds toward Talarico facing Paxton instead and preserving "Nothing."

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,774
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nothing Ever Happens: March" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nothing Ever Happens: March" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nothing Ever Happens: March" has generated $338.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nothing Ever Happens: March," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nothing Ever Happens: March" is "Nothing Ever Happens: March" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nothing Ever Happens: March" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.