Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by the recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive seabed search in the southern Indian Ocean. The 28-day operation, spanning March 2025 to January 2026, scanned over 7,500 square kilometers using advanced autonomous vehicles but yielded no confirmed wreckage, echoing prior multinational efforts that covered 120,000 km² without success. With just three months remaining and no new searches announced amid family pleas for extension, skepticism prevails due to historical patterns of elusive debris trails and unresolved flight path debates. An upset would require a sudden breakthrough lead or expedited private expedition uncovering verifiable main wreckage before deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
$86,994 Vol.
$86,994 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$86,994 Vol.
$86,994 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by the recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive seabed search in the southern Indian Ocean. The 28-day operation, spanning March 2025 to January 2026, scanned over 7,500 square kilometers using advanced autonomous vehicles but yielded no confirmed wreckage, echoing prior multinational efforts that covered 120,000 km² without success. With just three months remaining and no new searches announced amid family pleas for extension, skepticism prevails due to historical patterns of elusive debris trails and unresolved flight path debates. An upset would require a sudden breakthrough lead or expedited private expedition uncovering verifiable main wreckage before deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volume
$86,994End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by the recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive seabed search in the southern Indian Ocean. The 28-day operation, spanning March 2025 to January 2026, scanned over 7,500 square kilometers using advanced autonomous vehicles but yielded no confirmed wreckage, echoing prior multinational efforts that covered 120,000 km² without success. With just three months remaining and no new searches announced amid family pleas for extension, skepticism prevails due to historical patterns of elusive debris trails and unresolved flight path debates. An upset would require a sudden breakthrough lead or expedited private expedition uncovering verifiable main wreckage before deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$86,994End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by the recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive seabed search in the southern Indian Ocean. The 28-day operation, spanning March 2025 to January 2026, scanned over 7,500 square kilometers using advanced autonomous vehicles but yielded no confirmed wreckage, echoing prior multinational efforts that covered 120,000 km² without success. With just three months remaining and no new searches announced amid family pleas for extension, skepticism prevails due to historical patterns of elusive debris trails and unresolved flight path debates. An upset would require a sudden breakthrough lead or expedited private expedition uncovering verifiable main wreckage before deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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