Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

$1,064,557 Vol.

May 11, 2026

Belgium

$39,093 Vol.

Yes

Croatia

$21,041 Vol.

Yes

Finland

$394,351 Vol.

Yes

Greece

$59,682 Vol.

Yes

Israel

$52,867 Vol.

Yes

Lithuania

$32,279 Vol.

Yes

Moldova

$57,971 Vol.

Yes

Poland

$52,349 Vol.

Yes

Serbia

$64,670 Vol.

Yes

Sweden

$19,701 Vol.

Yes

Estonia

$77,510 Vol.

Georgia

$47,954 Vol.

$1,064,557 Vol.

Belgium

$39,093 Vol.

Yes

Croatia

$21,041 Vol.

Yes

Finland

$394,351 Vol.

Yes

Greece

$59,682 Vol.

Yes

Israel

$52,867 Vol.

Yes

Lithuania

$32,279 Vol.

Yes

Moldova

$57,971 Vol.

Yes

Poland

$52,349 Vol.

Yes

Serbia

$64,670 Vol.

Yes

Sweden

$19,701 Vol.

Yes

Estonia

$77,510 Vol.

Georgia

$47,954 Vol.

Montenegro

$32,447 Vol.

Portugal

$77,624 Vol.

San Marino

$35,020 Vol.

Market Opened: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Volume

$1,064,557

End Date

May 11, 2026

Market Opened

Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070be91...

Volume

$1,064,557

End Date

May 11, 2026

Market Opened

Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070be91...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Belgium" at 100%, followed by "Croatia" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" is "Belgium" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Croatia" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.1 million traded on “Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Belgium" in the "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Belgium" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" market has a growing discussion of 8 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (8)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

What are the current odds for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

How will "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" be resolved?

Can I follow "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "Belgium" mean?

When does the "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" market close?

What are traders saying about "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

What is Polymarket?

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (8)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

What are the current odds for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

How will "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" be resolved?

Can I follow "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "Belgium" mean?

When does the "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final" market close?

What are traders saying about "Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final"?

What is Polymarket?