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Blackout predictions & odds

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Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

24%

June 30

$457K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

46

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

63%

0

$1.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

80%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

33

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs

68%

Imperial

$0 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

OLDBOYS-

$10 Vol.

$95 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

100%

UNiTY esports

$20.3K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

88%

Natus Vincere

$385 Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

63%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$807K today

$365K Liq.

303

Ends in about 2 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

68%

↑ $3.00

$49.3K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs

61%

Bounty Hunters Esports

$0 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

11%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

57

Counter-Strike: Messiah vs The Last Resort (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Messiah vs The Last Resort (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

The Last Resort

$445 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Glitchtech Esports

$253 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

65%

Legacy

$131 Vol.

$62.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

35%

<2

$14.2K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

100%

SU Esports

$58.7K Vol.

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HARD GRIND vs The Soulless Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HARD GRIND vs The Soulless Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division

55%

HARD GRIND

$0 Vol.

$831 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

struggletony

$5.6K Vol.

$1 Liq.

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$633K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Blackout.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Blackout that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Internet Access restored in Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Blackout predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.