Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Donald Trump posting 80-139 times on Truth Social during March 24-31, 2026, with 100-119 (27%) and 80-99 (26.5%) leading narrowly amid tight clustering. This reflects historical patterns from his 2024 campaign and post-election activity, averaging 10-15 posts daily during high-engagement periods like primaries and legal developments, extrapolated to an 8-day window. Variability keeps odds compressed: routine weeks yield mid-range totals, while news-driven spikes—from policy announcements, diplomatic tensions, or controversies—historically push volumes higher. Separation could emerge from confirmed 2025 posting trends or early second-term precedents, with traders watching for sustained baselines ahead of spring 2026 catalysts like congressional sessions or global summits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated100-119 27%
80-99 26%
120-139 21%
140-159 13%
$33,423 Vol.
$33,423 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
26%
100-119
27%
120-139
21%
140-159
13%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
100-119 27%
80-99 26%
120-139 21%
140-159 13%
$33,423 Vol.
$33,423 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
26%
100-119
27%
120-139
21%
140-159
13%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Donald Trump posting 80-139 times on Truth Social during March 24-31, 2026, with 100-119 (27%) and 80-99 (26.5%) leading narrowly amid tight clustering. This reflects historical patterns from his 2024 campaign and post-election activity, averaging 10-15 posts daily during high-engagement periods like primaries and legal developments, extrapolated to an 8-day window. Variability keeps odds compressed: routine weeks yield mid-range totals, while news-driven spikes—from policy announcements, diplomatic tensions, or controversies—historically push volumes higher. Separation could emerge from confirmed 2025 posting trends or early second-term precedents, with traders watching for sustained baselines ahead of spring 2026 catalysts like congressional sessions or global summits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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