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Politics·Congress

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

icon for How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
Politics·Congress

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

4 99.4%

5 <1%

6 <1%

Polymarket

$29,764 Vol.

4 99.4%

5 <1%

6 <1%

Polymarket

$29,764 Vol.

4

$3,272 Vol.

92%

5

$5,159 Vol.

<1%

6

$3,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed four congressional bills into law in March 2026—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving notice for a posthumous promotion, and H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, H.R. 7211 on March 26 authorizing Medal of Honor awards and related honors—per official White House briefings, driving trader consensus to 92% on this outcome. These narrow, non-controversial measures cleared amid Trump's March 8 declaration withholding signature on broader legislation until Congress enacts the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration. With the month concluded and no additional signings announced by the 119th Congress, the position appears commanding; potential challenges include late official corrections or overlooked bills, though White House records indicate finality.

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,764
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed four congressional bills into law in March 2026—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving notice for a posthumous promotion, and H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, H.R. 7211 on March 26 authorizing Medal of Honor awards and related honors—per official White House briefings, driving trader consensus to 92% on this outcome. These narrow, non-controversial measures cleared amid Trump's March 8 declaration withholding signature on broader legislation until Congress enacts the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration. With the month concluded and no additional signings announced by the 119th Congress, the position appears commanding; potential challenges include late official corrections or overlooked bills, though White House records indicate finality.

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,764
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4" at 92%, followed by "5" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" has generated $29.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" is "4" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.