Climate & Science

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

500B–600B

<500B

500B–600B

$811k Vol.

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

<1.00ºC

10%

1.00–1.04ºC

21%

<1.00ºC

10%

1.00–1.04ºC

21%

$357k Vol.

monthly

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 18?

83%

14%

83%

14%

$70k Vol.

weekly

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

14%

28%

14%

28%

$1m Vol.

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$STAR

27%

$SPAX

19%

$STAR

27%

$SPAX

19%

$1m Vol.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

83%

>$1.2T

56%

>$1T

83%

>$1.2T

56%

$199k Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

175

99%

200

98%

175

99%

200

98%

$76k Vol.

monthly

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

48%

33%

48%

33%

$8k Vol.

weekly

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

January 31

29%

March 31

91%

January 31

29%

March 31

91%

$74k Vol.

daily

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

<1%

2nd hottest

<1%

1st hottest

<1%

2nd hottest

<1%

$282k Vol.

monthly

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

<30

80%

30–59

20%

<30

80%

30–59

20%

$471k Vol.

daily

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

70%

Goldman Sachs

13%

Morgan Stanley

70%

Goldman Sachs

13%

$260k Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

48%

chance

$84k Vol.

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

$330k Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

5–7

$322k Vol.

daily

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

52%

chance

$132k Vol.

daily

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

26%

chance

$68k Vol.

daily

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

14%

chance

$7k Vol.

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

30%

48%

30%

$242k Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10%

chance

$102k Vol.

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