Climate & Science

Climate & Science

Human moon landing in 2026? card icon

Human moon landing in 2026?

8%

chance

$2m Vol.

NASA Artemis II card icon

NASA Artemis II

February 7

<1%

February 28

71%

February 7

<1%

February 28

71%

$195k Vol.

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) card icon

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

<1.00ºC

1%

1.00–1.04ºC

1%

<1.00ºC

1%

1.00–1.04ºC

1%

$683k Vol.

Monthly
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

$1m Vol.

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

1

<1%

2

<1%

1

<1%

2

<1%

$179k Vol.

Weekly
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

2

2%

3

3%

2

2%

3

3%

$927k Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

<5

1%

5–7

6%

<5

1%

5–7

6%

$453k Vol.

Daily
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

0

51%

1

34%

0

51%

1

34%

$50k Vol.

Weekly
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

8%

5-6

28%

<5

8%

5-6

28%

$109k Vol.

Daily
5kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

48%

chance

$154k Vol.

Daily
Measles cases in U.S. by February 28? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

800

94%

1000

73%

800

94%

1000

73%

$74k Vol.

Monthly
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

78%

>$1.2T

66%

>$1T

78%

>$1.2T

66%

$335k Vol.

Precipitation in Seattle in February? card icon

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

<3"

23%

3-4"

15%

<3"

23%

3-4"

15%

NEW

Monthly
2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

1%

2nd hottest

6%

1st hottest

1%

2nd hottest

6%

$16k Vol.

Monthly
What will SpaceX's public ticker be? card icon

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$X

41%

$STAR

17%

$X

41%

$STAR

17%

$2m Vol.

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026? card icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?

<30

3%

30 - 40

<1%

<30

3%

30 - 40

<1%

$17k Vol.

Weekly
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

25%

1

56%

0

25%

1

56%

$255k Vol.

Precipitation in NYC in February? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in February?

<2"

42%

2-3"

28%

<2"

42%

2-3"

28%

NEW

Monthly