The recent limited Andes hantavirus outbreak on a cruise ship, with roughly a dozen confirmed cases and three deaths reported by WHO and CDC as of late May 2026, has not produced sustained human-to-human transmission or geographic spread beyond initial contacts. Official surveillance shows no U.S. cases linked to the event and underscores that Andes virus remains primarily rodent-borne, with only rare person-to-person spread documented historically. This aligns with longstanding CDC data indicating fewer than 1,000 U.S. hantavirus cases since 1993 and supports the market's 94.8% implied probability for no pandemic in 2026. Continued monitoring by health agencies could shift odds if evidence of efficient airborne transmission or expanded clusters emerges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$14,820,660 Vol.
$14,820,660 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$14,820,660 Vol.
$14,820,660 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent limited Andes hantavirus outbreak on a cruise ship, with roughly a dozen confirmed cases and three deaths reported by WHO and CDC as of late May 2026, has not produced sustained human-to-human transmission or geographic spread beyond initial contacts. Official surveillance shows no U.S. cases linked to the event and underscores that Andes virus remains primarily rodent-borne, with only rare person-to-person spread documented historically. This aligns with longstanding CDC data indicating fewer than 1,000 U.S. hantavirus cases since 1993 and supports the market's 94.8% implied probability for no pandemic in 2026. Continued monitoring by health agencies could shift odds if evidence of efficient airborne transmission or expanded clusters emerges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$14,820,660End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent limited Andes hantavirus outbreak on a cruise ship, with roughly a dozen confirmed cases and three deaths reported by WHO and CDC as of late May 2026, has not produced sustained human-to-human transmission or geographic spread beyond initial contacts. Official surveillance shows no U.S. cases linked to the event and underscores that Andes virus remains primarily rodent-borne, with only rare person-to-person spread documented historically. This aligns with longstanding CDC data indicating fewer than 1,000 U.S. hantavirus cases since 1993 and supports the market's 94.8% implied probability for no pandemic in 2026. Continued monitoring by health agencies could shift odds if evidence of efficient airborne transmission or expanded clusters emerges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,820,660End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent limited Andes hantavirus outbreak on a cruise ship, with roughly a dozen confirmed cases and three deaths reported by WHO and CDC as of late May 2026, has not produced sustained human-to-human transmission or geographic spread beyond initial contacts. Official surveillance shows no U.S. cases linked to the event and underscores that Andes virus remains primarily rodent-borne, with only rare person-to-person spread documented historically. This aligns with longstanding CDC data indicating fewer than 1,000 U.S. hantavirus cases since 1993 and supports the market's 94.8% implied probability for no pandemic in 2026. Continued monitoring by health agencies could shift odds if evidence of efficient airborne transmission or expanded clusters emerges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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